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The Sport of Kings

DEBUT WINNER SHOWS ‘WINX’ LIKE PROMISE

Before you get carried away. No, this brilliant 2yo debutant winner yesterday won’t emulate anywhere close to what Winx did because A) No horse will ever do what Winx was able to & B) He’s a colt so if he’s as good as he looks and becomes a multiple Group 1 winner he’ll only be around for another 2 full seasons maximum after this current season.

The only reason I raise the comparison is due to the similarity of their debut wins…..Check them out:

WINX’S DEBUT

EXCEEDANCE’S DEBUT

2019 Kentucky Derby: Runner by Runner Preview, Horse Odds, Tips, Selections and Best Bets

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2019 KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS

Morning Line Odds + Current Odds 1:40PM (KENTUCKY TIME)

 

1 War of Will

Morning Line Odds:

20-1

Current Odds:

17-1

2 Tax

Morning Line Odds:

20-1

Current Odds:

35-1

3 By My Standards

Morning Line Odds:

20-1

Current Odds:

16-1

4 Gray Magician

Morning Line Odds:

50-1

Current Odds:

30-1

5 Improbable

Morning Line Odds:

6-1

Current Odds:

5-1

6 Vekoma

Morning Line Odds:

20-1

Current Odds:

21-1

7 Maximum Security

Morning Line Odds:

10-1

Current Odds:

9-2

8 Tacitus

Morning Line Odds:

10-1

Current Odds:

5-1

9 Plus Que Parfait

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

55-1

10 Cutting Humor

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

24-1

11 Haikal 30-1 SCR

12 Omaha Beach 4-1 SCR

13 Code of Honor

Morning Line Odds:

15-1

Current Odds:

13-1

14 Win Win Win

Morning Line Odds:

15-1

Current Odds:

14-1

15 Master Fencer (JPN)

Morning Line Odds:

50-1

Current Odds:

53-1

16 Game Winner

Morning Line Odds:

5-1

Current Odds:

6-1

17 Roadster

Morning Line Odds:

6-1

Current Odds:

10-1

18 Long Range Toddy

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

50-1

19 Spinoff

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

49-1

20 Country House

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

61-1

21 Bodexpress

Morning Line Odds:

30-1

Current Odds:

90-1

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War Of Will (1)

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(trainer: Mark Casse owner: Gary Barber)
Not so many horses go well from gate 1 in this race so Mark Casse’s colt has it all to do, especially as one not fully proven at Grade 1 level.

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Tax (2)

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(trainer: Danny Gargan owner: RA Hill Stable & Reeves Racing)
Just behind Tacitus in the Wood Memorial Stakes at Aqueduct, which was expected, and it’s unsure how much improvement we can expect but he is a son of Arch whose progeny tend to progress well.

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By My Standards (3)

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(trainer: Bret Calhoun owner: Allied Racing Stable)
The surprise winner of the Louisiana Derby back in March, Bret Calhoun’s runner is drawn in gate 3 and could run into trouble early in the race but as an inexperienced horse, he could improve significantly.

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Gray Magician (4)

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(trainer: Peter Miller owner: Wachtel Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred & Gary Barber)
Ran behind Plus Que Parfait over in Dubai, a race that doesn’t inspire too much, and before that, he had been beaten enough times in lower grade races to suggest this race is too hot.

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Improbable (5)

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(trainer: Bob Baffert owner: Win Star Farm, China Horse Club & Starlight Racing) 
Bob Baffert’s star has been beaten twice this season, but both in hot prep races and the son of City Zip is, of course, a Grade 1 winner already.

He got home nicely last season over a mile and battled to the line when beaten by Omaha Beach (now scratched due to an entrapped epiglottis) in the Arkansas Derby, but six furlongs to a mile run right through his pedigree so staying this mile-and-a-quarter distance after battling from gate 5 to get a good early position may not show him to very best effect.

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Vekoma (6)

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(trainer: George Weaver owner: RA Hill Stable & Gatsas Stables)
Although beaten in the Fountain of Youth by Code Of Honor, this horse has continued to progress throughout his early career and was striding home beautifully when winning the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland.

The progeny of Candy Ride has so far shown lots of speed but the sire himself was a very good Grade 1 winner over this distance and so there is plenty of hope that he can last home. Another improved showing would give Javier Castellano’s mount a great chance.

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Maximum Security (7)

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(trainer: Jason Servis owner: Gary & Mary West)
Having made all the running to win the Grade 1 Florida Derby and braking from gate 7, Jason Servis’ runner has an obvious chance in this race but some say he got the run of the race back at Gulfstream and he cannot have things his own way in this event.

Code Of Honor didn’t perform that day and neither did favourite Hidden Scroll, but this son of a Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner could do no more and he remains a chief contender for the crown.

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Tacitus (8)

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(trainer: Bill Mott owner: Juddmonte Farms)
The top points scorer in the Road to the Kentucky Derby has been the only horse to have won two major preps, Bill Mott’s son of record-breaking sire Tapit has been given a good gate position and is one of few colts who seems sure to improve on the day.

Jose Ortiz should be able to get a good toe in behind the leaders and will have enough in hand for the stretch run too to give himself a major chance of the win.

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Plus Que Parfait (9)

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(trainer: Brendan Walsh owner: Imperial Racing)
Winner of the UAE Derby over in Dubai, he is here on merit but his overall profile is one of a colt who is somewhat behind many of the other contenders in the race.

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Cutting Humor (10)

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(trainer: Todd Pletcher owner: Starlight Racing)
Despite winning the Sunland Park Derby back in March, it’s hard to see Todd Pletcher’s colt getting involved in the finish here.

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Haikal (11)

(trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin owner: Shadwell Stable)

SCRATCHED

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Code Of Honor (13)

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(trainer: Claude McGaughey owner: WS Farish)
Having won an unsatisfactory renewal of the Fountain of Youth and finished third in the Florida Derby, it’s fair to say he is not the main contender from that part of the country and will need to improve a lot to hit the board here.

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Win Win Win (14)

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(trainer: Michael Trombetta owner: Live Oak Plantation)
Having run behind Tacitus and Vekoma in prep races this year, it’s hard to believe he can get around this field from gate 14 fast enough to take the honours.

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Master Fencer (15)

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(trainer: Koichi Tsunoda owner: Katsumi Yoshizawa)
Japan would love to win this race, especially for breeding purposes, but this horse simply doesn’t look good enough and his gate position doesn’t help matters.

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Game Winner (16)

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(trainer: Bob Baffert owner: Gary & Mary West)
With 4 wins (including the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile) and two seconds to his name, Bob Baffert’s money-spinning colt remains a leading contender but it’s unsure whether he can hit the Grade 1 heights he hit last year and from gate 16 he has his work cut out for him under Joel Rosario.

He did have to race wide last time also though and perhaps should have beaten Roadster in the Santa Anita Derby so he is not without a chance, especially after Omaha Beach’s withdrawal.

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Roadster (17)

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(trainer: Bob Baffert owner: Speedway Stable)
Just when Game Winner and Improbable looked like disappointing him, Bob Baffert unearths another star and this son of Quality Road won the Santa Anita Derby last time in the style of a horse who will appreciate this extra eighth of a mile.

Let’s not forget that he was favourite to beat Game Winner in the Del Mar Futurity last year and certainly has more to offer, his wide gate being the only negative about him as we go into the weekend.

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Long Range Toddy (18)

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(trainer: Steve Asmussen owner: Willis Horton Racing)
This is the colt who beat Improbable in a division of the Rebel Stakes of course, but he disappointed in the Arkansas Derby and has to break from gate 18.

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Spinoff (19)

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(trainer: Todd Pletcher owner: Wertheimer & Frere)
He was a good second in the Louisiana Derby but he would be uncertain to turn around the form with By My Standards and he is drawn very wide.

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Country House (20)

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(trainer: Bill Mott owner: Mrs JV Shields Jnr, EJM McFadden Jr & LNJ Foxwoods)
Bill Mott’s runner has some solid form, but having run consistently behind many Derby contenders this year there is no real reason he should improve past them now from gate 20.

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Bodexpress (21)

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(trainer: Gustavo Delgado owner: Top Racing, Global Thoroughbreds & GDS Racing)
Drafted in at the 11th hour after the defection of favourite Omaha Beach, the Florida Derby runner-up needs to improve somewhat and has to make do with gate 20.

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THE KING’S 

2019

KENTUCKY DERBY SELECTIONS

WKR - GET YOUR TIPS FROM THE KING

1. (15) GAME WINNER 6-1

2. (7) MAXIMUM SECURITY 9-2

3. (8) TACITUS 5-1

4. (17) ROADSTER 10-1

5. (10) CUTTING HUMOUR 24-1

6. (6) VEKOMA 21-1

 

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SUGGESTED BETS:

1. (15) GAME WINNER 6-1 — 8 units win

2. (7) MAXIMUM SECURITY 9-2 — 6 units win

3. (8) TACITUS 5-1 — 4 units each way

4. (17) ROADSTER 10-1 — 3 units each way

 

 

THE KING TIP: SUNDAY 07/04/19

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THE KING TIP: SUNDAY 07/04/19

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RACE 8

#4

MASTER CHUM

$3.00

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J: Jason Holder

T: Rob Wilkinson

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USA HORSE RACING TIPS & BEST BETS: GULFSTREAM PARK

USA HORSE RACING TIPS

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GULFSTREAM PARK

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Race 1 
# 8 Go Go Jak Speed of speed all the way
# 5 Miss Surprise won’t have things her own way no easy lead
# 6 She Nailed It will find the cut back in distance more to her liking can atone

 

 

Race 2
# 3 The Kid in Syd maybe the speed of speed ‘rider change ‘the Choice
# 5 High Rolling Dude ran out of racetrack last out
# 4 Beach Resort dropping class can wake him up
# 8 El Playon has been showing some improvement ‘rider change ‘dangerous

 

 

Race 3
# 3 Golden Kantharos track/Dist winner hard to deny
# 4 Duke of Miami the horse to beat
# 7 Artist wake up possible with these

 

 

Race 4 
# 3 King Ottokar won like a Colt with a future on grass my Top Choice
# 5 A Thread of Blue Horse to beat
# 6 Louder Than Bombs has been showing improvement don’t ignore
# 7 Casa Creed was never in the hunt last out, rebound possibly

 

 

Race 5
# 1 Siem Riep may be the lone speed and is dangerous
# 6 Hembree blooming at the right time track/Dist winner ‘danger
# 5 Krampus track/Dist winner will be closing late this Horse like the Dist
# 3 Holiday Stone wakeup potential big price

 

 

Race 6
# 4 Quijote won easily last out can repeat
# 8 Storm Advisory yet to win at GP but gelding is sitting on a big Race
# 5 Santiament is improving may catch a dry surface
# 1 Recruiting Ready the speed of speed will go as far as this field allows

 

 

Race 7
# 5 Lafta has a record of 3-2-0-0 at GP distant won’t be a problem Choice
# 4 Semper Sententiae will be close to the leaders and is a danger to all
# 3 Holy Helena track/Dist winner is the Horse to beat
# 8 A.A.Szula’s Arch closing for share

 

 

Race 8 
# 2 Belle Laura was no show in BCJvFTF-Grade yet only 9 1/2 L blinkers added top Choice
# 5 Princess Carolina finished 4 length 5th in Grade 2
# 7 Cambier Parc won by 4 open lengths might be a good thing
# 1 Vow to Recover ‘my longshot play

 

 

Race 9 
# 7 Seranitsa ever trying filly is improving and can go all the way
# 3 Macabre is on the improve and is dangerous from off the pace
# 12 Queen Brunette blinkers added watch out
# 4 Our Law was gaining ground when ran out of racetrack improving

 

 

Race 10 
# 6 Felix the Fox exited a live Race my Top Choice
# 4 Identifier dangerous for all the marbles
# 3 Thetrashmancoming will need to revert to stalking to beat these
# 8 Ranger Up will be racing on a dry surface for the first time very dangerous

 

 

Race 11
# 10 Dolce Lili track/Dist winner can repeat if well rated
# 9 Bellavis the Horse to Beat
# 4 La Signare last Race was a no show rebound potential as rider retains
# 2 Valedictorian likes the GP course and Distant will have to be caught

 

 

Race 12
# 5 Champagne Anyone my Choice to win this Race from off the pace
# 1 Jaywalk the Horse they all have to Beat
# 7 High Regard will be closing late for a share

 

 

Race 13
# 6 Signalman ‘My Best Bet’
# 5 Vekoma won like a Super Race Horse can be anything much to respect
# 4 Bourbon War track/Dist winner will be closing from off the pace dangerous for all the marbles
# 2 Epic Dreamer to give them trouble on the lead

 

 

Race 14
# 8 Highland Sky track /Dist winner will be the Horse to beat
# 6 Zula Alpha repeat possible seeing the distant for the first
# 11 Channel Maker Horse to Beat yet to win at GP
# 5 Vettori Kin (BRAZIL) has kept good company in Graded Races

 

BEST BET: RACE 13 – 6 SIGNALMAN $7.00

02/03/19 Free USA Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets

Free USA Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets

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GULFSTREAM PARK TIPS

Tips & Comments Courtesy of: twitter.com/usaracingtips

Race 1

# 5 Courtesy Notice track /Dist winner looks like the most likely repeater among these

# 6 Catherine Warrior closing type may share

# 7 Conquesthardcherry closing late for all the marbles

# 8 Trixie’s Time the speed of speed may forget to stop

Race 2

# 1 Mucho Should have these at his mercy if ready

# 2 Lutsky returns from a long layoff working well

# 3 The Boss Factor will be Race on conventional dirt track for the first time may wake up

Race 3

# 7 Emperor John dropping class track/Dist winner is the Choice for the win

# 5 Irish Letters wakeup potential going back to 7 Furlongs let’s hope gelding improve

# 4 Cape Marco Drive will like cutting back to 7 panels dangerous on lead

Race 4

# 2 Accountant Q will benefit from post 2 today my Choice

# 1 Sky Point will benefit from post 1 to run his best race todate

# 4 King Wade if break well can lead these throughout # 8 Vaughn the 3/5 possible favorite

Race 5

# 5 Souper Scat Daddy is an improving Colt my Choice

# 3 The Green Mo’ster is a gelding with potential for much better danger

# 6 Peacock Kitten shows his affinity for turf dangerous here

# 9 Camp Creek wakeup possible after dropping class

Race 6

# 7 Switcharoo my Top Choice in this Race based on her recent

# 4 Elite Appeal new rider aboard rebound potential

# 3 Luxe Diamond pulled and drifted recent start ‘today’s rider change and blinkers wakeup potential

# 2 Career Move for part

Race 7

# 5 Pass It On track/Dist winner is the Horse to beat my Choice

# 8 Rubellite track/Dist winner ‘rider change for share dangerous

# 6 Power Empire appears to be sitting on a big race

# 9 Miss Accuse is a sleeper amongst these might awaken

Race 8

# 5 Monhegan returns from a respite and will be closing late the top Choice

# 3 Beau Belle dropping class after no showing Grade 3 dangerous today

# 1 Susan B Anthony the horse to beat

# 2 Stefanie On Fleek is the stone closer in line up.

Race 9

# 6 Trapped At Sea is my Top Choice

# 7 Miz Clipper will be very hard to beat in this field super dangerous

# 5 Ascertain the 3/5 favorite

Race 10

# 6 Call Me Kayla coming to battle with blinkers added rider change my Choice

# 5 Belle’s Game track/Dist winner is dangerous

# 7 One Direction Song mare likes the GP course 11-3-1-2-record and 11-3-1-1 Distant

# 4 Pound Note don’t discount

Race 11

# 9 Infinity Sky exited sharp Sprints stretching out may show speed dangerous in such conditions ‘Choice

# 10 Rucia Mora will be closing late

# 8 How Did She Do is a well bred filly drop in class don’t discount

# 6 Let’s Go Baby may share

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THURSDAY 21/02/19 FREE AUSTRALIAN HORSE RACING TIPS

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Horse Racing Australia

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Hawkesbury

Race 1 Aussie
Race 2 Lashes
Race 4 Galina
Race 6 Decroux
Race 8 Dunatun

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Pakenham

Race 1 Accredit
Race 4 Vigere
Race 8 Skelton

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Warrnambool

Race 7 Favonski

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