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Friday 19/07/19 – Singapore Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets

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Singapore

Friday 19 July 2019

singapore-turf-club-6c07e66ea46a73d6016552828b498e06.jpg

Race 1 O’Reilly Star

Race 2 Sky Eye

Race 3 Big Regards

Race 4 Lim’s Torpedo

Race 5 Inferno*

Race 6 10 Hidden Promise

Race 7 12 Wassergeist

Race 8 Sacred Don

 

Best Bet:

Race 5 Inferno*

WATCH: AUSSIE G1 WINNER COMIN’ THROUGH FLOPS AGAIN IN DUBAI

B.E DEPOSIT $50 START WITH $250

AUSSIE G1 WINNER COMIN’ THROUGH FLOPS AGAIN IN DUBAI

 

 

AUSTRALIAN GROUP 1 WINNER COMIN’ THROUGH WILL SURELY HAVE HIS MISSION OF RACING ON DUBAI WORLD CUP NIGHT AT MEYDAN RACECOURSE, DUBAI, ABORTED AFTER ANOTHER TERRIBLE EFFORT THIS TIME IN THE GROUP 2. 1600M ZABEEL CLASSIC WON BY THE GODOLPHIN / CHARLIE APPLEBY / WILLIAM BUICK MYSTICAL MAGIC.

B.E DEPOSIT $50 START WITH $250

COMIN’ THROUGH RACED WELL LAST AUTUMN AND INTO THE WINTER IN AUSTRALIA, CULMINATING WITH A WELL OVERDUE GROUP 1 WIN IN BRISBANE’S DOOMBEN CUP.

B.E DEPOSIT $50 START WITH $250

BUT HIS OVERSEAS CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN A TRAINWRECK. HE WENT TO HONG KONG TO RUN ON HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL DAY AT SHA TIN IN DECEMBER AND WAS TERRIBLE BUT TRAINER CHRIS WALLER DECIDED TO PUSH ON TO DUBAI. SINCE ARRIVING IN THE UAE HE’S PUT IN TWO MORE SHOCKERS, BUT HIS EFFORT . IN THE ZABEEL MILE WAS A NEW LOW POINT IN HIS CAREER.WALLER’S REPRESENTATIVE IN DUBAI SAID PRE-RACE THEY’D HOPE HE’D RUN WELL ENOUGH TO PUSH ON AND RUN WORLD CUP NIGHT BUT AFTER TONIGHT’S SHOWING SURELY IT’S A BRIDGE TOO FAR TO ASK HIM TO RUN IN A GR1 GIVEN THE TERRIBLE FORM HE’S BEEN IN SINCE DEPARTING AUSTRALIA.

B.E DEPOSIT $50 START WITH $250

THURSDAY 21/02/19 FREE DUBAI HORSE RACING TIPS – WORLD CUP CARNIVAL @ MEYDAN

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THURSDAY 21/02/19

FREE DUBAI HORSE RACING TIPS

WORLD CUP CARNIVAL @ MEYDAN

 

BetEasy - Deposit $10 Bet with $110

 

DUBAI WORLD CUP CARNIVAL

beteasy - deposit $555 get $555 in bonus bets

 

MEYDAN

RACE 1: 4.NINE BELOW ZERO $7.00

RACE 2: 4.LEGENDARY LUNCH $6.50

RACE 3 – GROUP 3: DUBAI MILLENIUM STAKES: 3.SPOTIFY $6.50

RACE 4 – GROUP 3: UAE OAKS: 10.SILVA*** $3.00

RACE 5 – GROUP 2: ZABEEL MILE: 2.MYSTICAL MAGIC* $4.00

RACE 6: 13.BEDOUIN’S STORY $5.00

 

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BEST BET: RACE 4 – 10 SILVA $3.00

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THE KING TIP: WEDNESDAY 21 NOVEMBER 2018

THE KING TIP

WEDNESDAY 21 NOVEMBER 2018

SKY BETEASY 728x210

SANDOWN (LAKESIDE)

RACE 8

#12

OCEAN DEEP

$5.00 

(BETEASY / LADBROKES / POINTSBET / BET365)

Roy Higgins Silks.jpeg

J: FRED KERSLEY (A2)

T: DAVID HAYES, BEN HAYES, TOM DABERNIG

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4 YEAR OLD LINDSAY PARK TRAINED MARE, BY COX PLATE WINNER OCEAN PARK, RESUMING HERE FRESH OFF A 221 DAY BREAK.

NO PUBLIC BARRIER TRIAL LEADING IN.

KICKED OFF HER CAREER WINNING A 1212M MAIDEN AT KILMORE IN NOVEMBER 2017. RAN PRETTY GOOD OVERALL TIME IN PROCESS.

MADE IT 2 FROM 2 WHEN COMING STRAIGHT TO MIDWEEK 3YO FILLIES BM64 GRADE (OVER TODAY’S COURSE / DISTANCE – 1200M SANDOWN-LAKESIDE), ONLY WON BY A NOSE IN A 6 HORSE RACE BUT THE FORM OUT OF THAT RACE HAS SUBSEQUENTLY BEEN RED-HOT.

RUNNER-UP KARDASHING STRUGGLES TO WIN OFTEN BUT IS STAKES PLACED AND HAS MEASURED UP OK IN GROUP 3 GRADE.

3RD IN THE RACE WAS BELLA MARTINI, THE ULTRA SMART TEAM HAWKES MARE. AFTER BEING BEATEN BY OCEAN DEEP CARRYING LEVEL WEIGHTS FIRST UB SHE SUBSEQUENTLY WENT ON TO WIN THE LISTED GOSFORD GUINEAS & GROUP 2 KEWNEY STAKES AT FLEMINGTON ALL IN THAT VERY SAME PREP, SO IT SHOWS YOU JUST HOW GOOD OCEAN DEEP’S WINNING EFFORT WAS BEATING A HORSE LIKE BELLA MARTINI JUST A TICK UNDER A LENGTH CARRYING IDENTICAL WEIGHTS (59.5KG). BELLA MARTINI WENT ON WITH HER BRILLIANT FORM FURTHER THIS SPRING, SHE WAS 2ND BEATEN A NOSTRIL IN THE GROUP 2 LET’S ELOPE STAKES AT FLEMINGTON. THEN LAST START IN THE GROUP 1, WFA, EMPIRE ROSE STAKES ON DERBY DAY – MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL WEEK, SHE RAN A BRILLIANT 4TH BEATEN JUST A LENGTH & A HALF AGAINST AUSTRALIA’S VERY BEST FILLIES & MARES. FOR OCEAN DEEP TO HAVE BEATEN BELLA MARTINI A LENGTH AT LEVEL WEIGHTS, SPEAKS VOLUMES FOR THE QUALITY OF OCEAN DEEP, GIVEN BELLA’S DEEDS SINCE THAT DEFEAT!

AFTER THE SANDOWN WIN SHE WAS TIPPED OUT FOR A 94 DAY SPELL.

THE LINDSAY PARK TEAM THEN THROUGH HER STRAIGHT INTO THE DEEP END RESUMING HER 1ST UP IN THE GROUP 2 ANGUS ARMANASCO STAKES OVER 1400M AT CAULFIELD. SHE DREW BARRIER 11 OF 11 & WAS SNAGGED RIGHT BACK TO LAST TO GET IN. SHE DRIFTED A LONG WAY OUT OF HER GROUND AND COULD ONLY MANGE 10TH OF 11 BEATEN 7.8L BUT THE RUN WAS A MILE BETTER THAN IT LOOKED ON PAPER. SHE RAN THE 6TH FASTEST LAST 600M SPLIT OF THE RACE, COMING HOME 1.2L FASTER THAN THE BENCHMARK AVERAGE.

SHE THEN DROPPED IN GRADE BACK TO OPEN 3YO CLASS OVER 1200M AGAIN AT CAULFIELD. BUT AGAIN SHE DREW POORLY IN GATE 8 / 12. FRED KERSLEY RODE HER THAT DAY AND SHE HAD ZERO LUCK BEING TRAPPED 4 & 5 WIDE THE TRIP & SHE STRUCK TROUBLE ROUNDING THE CORNER WHEN BADLY HAMPERED (KERSLEY WAS LATER SUSPENDED FOR INCIDENT), BUT SHE STILL MANAGED TO PICK UP THE PIECES & WORK HOME IN LOVELY FASHION, RUNNING HER LAST 600M IN 6.7L FASTER THAN THE ALL BENCHMARK AVERAGE. AGAIN IT WAS A GUN FORM RACE, SHE FINISHED RIGHT ALONGSIDE DARREN WEIR’S SPRING REVELATION ICONOCLASM, THE WINNER OF 7 OF HIS 13 CAREER RUNS & WHO FINISHED A TERRIFIC 8TH BEATEN JUST 2.7L IN THE GROUP 1 KENNEDY MILE AGAINST AUSTRALIA’S VERY BEST MILERS.

OCEAN DEEP THEN WENT FOR A LONG 221 DAY SPELL & HASN’T RACED SINCE APRIL. SHE’S FIRST UP IN A LOWLY RATING BM64 RACE, THAT LACKS ANY DEPTH OF QUALITY, OVER THE 1200M – A DISTANCE SHE’S WON AT TWICE & RUN VERY WELL AT IN OPEN 3YO GRADE WHEN SHE HAD PLENTY OF EXCUSES.

THE WINKERS & LUGGING BIT STAY ON AND SHE’S FINALLY DRAWN AN OK GATE IN 5 OF 20. WITH FRED KERSLEY WHO KNOWS THE HORSE WELL TAKING THE 2KG OFF HER BACK SHE GETS IN ON THE MINIMUM WEIGHT OF 58KG.

EXPECT HER TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THAT HANDY GATE IN THE BIG FIELD & BE RIDDEN POSITIVELY TO BE IN THE FIRST 6 OR 8 IN THE RUN.

SHE’S BY FAR THE CLASS MATERIAL IN THIS RACE & I HAVE LITTLE DOUBT DAVID WILL HAVE HER WELL AND TRULY FORWARD ENOUGH TO BE WINNING DESPITE NOT TRIALLING PUBLICLY.

THE WET GROUND IS NO ISSUE HER LAST RUN BEFORE THE BREAK WAS ON SOFT GOING & SHE HANDLED IT WELL SPRINTING HOME IN GOOD SECTIONALS TO SHOW SHE WAS CAPABLE IN THOSE CONDITIONS.

AT $5.00 SHE’S ENORMOUS VALUE. I HAVE LITTLE DOUBT SHE’LL GO ON AT MEASURE UP IN GROUP CLASS & I THINK THIS ISN’T MUCH MORE THAN A SOFT KILL FRESH BEFORE BEING STEPPED UP TO TACKLE BETTER CLASSES OF RACES & MAYBE EVEN A RACE LIKE THE MAGIC MILLIONS FILLIES & MARES RACE OVER 1300M FOR $1,000,000 IN JANUARY.

GREAT BET, SHOULD GO VERY CLOSE. CLEAR CLASS EDGE!

SKY BETEASY 728x210

2018 MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL GUIDE

2018 MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL GUIDE

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DEP $500 - $700 BONUS

 

 

AAMI VICTORIA DERBY DAY

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Gates open 8:30am • First race 11:45am • Last race 5:20pm

FEATURE: 3:50pm – AAMI Victoria Derby

Cup Week starts with a fusion of monochrome fashion, first-class racing and celebrations at AAMI Victoria Derby Day.

Regarded as one of the most prestigious days of racing of the spring, AAMI Victoria Derby Day features a card of nine Group races, four at the elite Group 1 level. The feature Group 1 AAMI Victoria Derby, worth over AUD $2 million, is Australia’s premier staying classic for three year olds.

Off the track, the fashion stakes are equally impressive, thanks to the Myer Fashions on the Field competition for both men and women. Ladies embrace the traditional black and white palette, while men often choose to wear a grey morning suit and top hat, creating classic racing elegance in a larger than life world of glamour and sophistication.

 

9 RACE CARD

FOUR GROUP 1’S:

  • VICTORIA DERBY

  • COOLMORE STUD STAKES

  • KENNEDY MILE

  • EMPIRE ROSE STAKES

derby day schedule

NOMINATIONS: http://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Nominations.aspx?Key=2018Nov03,VIC,Flemington

DEP $500 - $700 BONUS

 

 

LEXUS MELBOURNE CUP DAY

lexusl_cupday

Gates open 8:30am • First race 10:50am • Last race 5:20pm

FEATURE: 3:00pm – Lexus Melbourne Cup

Australia’s greatest sporting and cultural icon, the A$7.3 million Lexus Melbourne Cup, is the feature of Cup Week, and a must-do sporting spectacle to witness live.

The excitement of being part of the front lawn and grandstands filled to the brim, the silent audience anticipating what will happen in the next three minutes, all waiting for their ‘I was at the Melbourne Cup when..’ moment.

While a racing event at its core, Cup Day transcends traditional sporting events with the combination of sport, fashion, celebrity and entertainment. With a reputation for fashion with a penchant for drama, it is the day to make your strongest fashion statement with an exotic or outrageous ensemble that matches the scale and splendor of the event.

There’s truly no other event like it.

 

10 RACE CARD

ONE GROUP 1:

  • MELBOURNE CUP

cup day schedule

 

 

DEP $500 - $700 BONUS

 

 

 

KENNEDY OAKS DAY

kennedy_oaksday

Gates open 10:15am • First race 12:15pm • Last race 5:45pm

FEATURE: 5:00pm – Kennedy Oaks

The tradition of Kennedy Oaks Day is beauty, femininity, style and grace. It’s a day that the racegoer can embrace wonderment and escape the normal of a week day. The style is not just for the females, the men also take it up a notch, making it one of the best days of the year for men to dress up and explore fashion.

Kennedy Oaks Day’s significance on the fashion calendar is further reinforced with the crowning of the Myer Fashions on the Field Women’s Racewear national winner.

The racing highlight is the $1 million Group 1 Kennedy Oaks, which will see the best three-year-old fillies battle for victory in the ultimate test of their staying credentials.

 

9 RACE CARD

ONE GROUP 1:

  • VRC OAKS

oaks day schedule

 

 

DEP $500 - $700 BONUS

 

 

SEPPELT WINES STAKES DAY

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Gates open 10:15am • First race 12:15pm • Last race 5:45pm

FEATURE: 4:55pm – Seppelt Mackinnon Stakes

Friends, fun and the finale of Cup Week, Seppelt Wines Stakes Day is a day at Flemington not to be missed. It’s a celebration of the week that’s just been, filled with quality racing, fashion and entertainment. Let the hair and heels down a little as the pace off the track softens for a family friendly day out.

The pace on-track doesn’t slow though with two Group 1 races. The illustrious A$2 million Group 1 Seppelt Mackinnon Stakes is the ultimate weight-for-age test for middle distance horses at Australia’s premier track, while the $1 million Group 1 VRC Sprint Classic will see some of the world’s fastest horses fly up the famous Flemington straight.

It’s also a big day for fashion’s future trendsetters with Stakes Day Fashions on the Field focusing on children and family. With a fun, friendly atmosphere, an abundance of free activities for children, as well as great racing, Seppelt Wines Stakes Day is the perfect way to finish Cup Week.

 

9 RACE CARD

TWO GROUP 1’S:

  • MACKINNON STAKES

  • VRC CLASSIC

stakes day schedule.jpg

 

DEP $500 - $700 BONUS

Fastest Sectional Splits – Randwick Saturday, September 5

Paul Joice – www.racenet.com

Shiraz clocked the fastest final 600-metres at Randwick on Saturday but the fastest final 200-metres went to a Group I winner which resumed in the Group II Tramway Stakes (1400m).

Lucia Valentina caught the eye flashing through the ruck to finish sixth in the Group II Tramway and the sectional times confirm what a terrific return it was.

The dual Group I winner from the Kris Lees stable clocked 11.52 seconds for the final 200-metres.

That split was marginally quicker than the final 200-metres of Tony McEvoy’s in-form six-year-old Shiraz, clocking 11.54 seconds.

An interesting final sectional came in the Group II Chelmsford Stakes (1600m) with Chris Waller’s evergreen 10-year-old I’m Imposing finishing ninth behind Complacent but clocking the fastest splits, with a final 600-metres of 35.22 seconds and a final 200-metres of 11.78 seconds.

Below is a table summarising the fastest final 600-metres and 200-metre splits at Randwick on Saturday.

Race

Fastest Last 600m

Fastest Last 200m

1 – Benchmark 83 (2000m)

Astronomos (35.26)

Astronomos (11.86)

2 – Benchmark 80 (1600m)

Ruling Dynasty (34.84)

Ruling Dynasty (12.00)

3 – Ming Dynasty (1400m)

Intrepid Way (35.04)

Intrepid Way (11.92)

4 – Furious Stakes (1200m)

Speak Fondly (35.04)

Speak Fondly (11.88)

5 – Concorde Stakes (1000m)

Shiraz (33.44)

Shiraz (11.54)

6 – Chelmsford Stakes (1600m)

I’m Imposing (35.22)

I’m Imposing (11.78)

7 – Tramway Stakes (1400m)

Lucia Valentina (34.12)

Lucia Valentina (11.52)

8 – Benchmark 85 (1400m)

Sadlers Lake (34.92)

Sadlers Lake (11.80)

2015 McEwen Stakes – What the jockeys said?

VIA: www.racenet.com.au

Chautauqua made an outstanding return to racing in Saturday’s Group II McEwen Stakes (1000m) at Moonee Valley.

Chautauqua ($2.60 fav) came from the second half of the field to beat Flamberge ($5.50) by 1 ½ lengths while Furnaces ($5.50) was third.

This is what the jockeys thought of the performance of their rides in the McEwen Stakes.

Race Horse Jockey Comment

1st

Chautauqua Dwayne Dunn They went that quick and he was nice and smooth through the transition and he handled the track really well and that’s a bonus going forward. They weren’t going to quicken again from the turn so he was able to run home and pick them off.
2nd Flamberge Vlad Duric Winner was just too good.
3rd Furnaces Patrick Moloney I thought I was the winner at the top of the straight but he was just beaten by two seasoned Group I horses. He’s still a three-year-old and it’s onwards and upwards for him.
4th Klishina Craig Newitt Went great but she was just outclassed.
5th Sweet Emily Harry Coffey She ran really well. To run fifth in a Group II is a pretty good effort up against some of these elite horses so it was a really good training effort by Phil (Sweeney). There’s probably improvement.
6th Tycoon Tara Craig Williams She’s a really mature mare and she competed really well first-up against those horses with the way the race was run. She’s in for a nice spring.
7th The Quarterback Matthew Allen Ran super. Just run off his legs early. But he went well. He saved ground on the inside and he kept on really well.
8th Kuro Mark Zahra Ran all right. He got a bit of a bump at the 200(m). He’ll improve a lot from that.
9th It Is Written Damien Oliver Ran well. Wants further.
10th Written Dash Dean Yendall Just run off her feet early.
11th I’m All The Talk Michael Walker Being taken on didn’t suit our horse.
12th Sistonic Damian Lane Just went too hard. Over-raced all the way.

2015 Chelmsford Stakes In-Depth Preview + Tips & Suggested Bets

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2015 IN-DEPTH CHELMSFORD STAKES PREVIEW + TIPS

Race 6 – 3:45PM TATTERSALLS CLUB CHELMSFORD STAKES (1600 METRES)
Of $250,000.1st $150,000, 2nd $50,000, 3rd $25,000, 4th $12,500, 5th $5,000, 6th $2,500, 7th $2,500, 8th $2,500 GROUP 2
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.

Field Limit: 16 + 4 EM

MooneeRand_Sat_732x1971
INCLUDES THE CHELMSFORD STAKES

1.

Hartnell J A O’Shea J B Mc Donald

Was a Group winner in the UK before being transferred to Australia by Godolphin to tackle this year’s Sydney Autumn Carnival.

He had 4 runs in his debut Australian campaign and in that short space of time he stamped himself as a genuine Gr1 horse.

First-up in Australia he went around in the Gr1 Chipping Norton as a 15/1 shot with Godolphin stablemate Contributer a short priced favourite. Contributer got the cash, but Hartnell’s run was nothing short of breathtaking, flying home up along the inside to finish an ever narrowing 2nd place. His last 600/400/200m closing sectionals were ‘smoking’.

They were clearly the fastest on the whole card of racing and were half a second or a length and a half faster than anything else in the big Gr1 feature mile race. His last 600m was an unheard of 10.8L FASTER than the overall benchmark figure. He stamped himself as a genuine Group 1 horse from the get go!

Second up over 2000m he toyed with a quality field in the Gr3 Sky High Stakes, jog trotting home to score by 2L.

He then took the huge leap to Gr1 Weight-For-Age over 2400m in the $1.5million BMW. He travelled like the winner the whole way and despite a gallant effort by Japanese staying star, To The World, he drew well clear late to score comfortably and stamp himself as a super-star stayer. Any lingering questions over his class or ability were extinguished their and then at Rosehill.

He ran in the Sydney Cup after that but things all went wrong that day and the run was a total forgive.

He’s had two trials leading into this first up run. A repeat of his last first up effort in the Chipping Norton and not only will he win, he’ll give genuine Gr1 milers wind-burn in the process.

Great hope fresh he’s Top class.

2.

Pornichet Ms G Waterhouse B Shinn

Solid 2nd resuming but was no match at all late for Royal Descent in the Warwick Stakes a fortnight ago. Will be fitter and appreciate the step up in distance, but that’s the case for a lot of the main hopes here as well. In the Warwick Stakes he settled on speed in second and crawled his first 800m 4.5L slower than average, given that soft run on speed I thought he was disappointing not being able to sprint home better, although finishing runner up. Officially he clocked the 10th (out of field of 13) fastest 600/400 & 200m sectionals in the race, or to put it another way, the 4th slowest in the race….

Plenty got carried away with his Queensland campaign, but I for one didn’t & won’t. His ratings / sectionals were nothing flash in winning a lowly Toowoomba Cup and then the Doomben Cup, which let be honest whilst it’s a Gr1 – it’s been a long while since we had a genuine Gr1 quality field in the event and this year’s edition that Pornichet won was no different. The best guide form wise I can give you from a personal viewpoint out of the Doomben Cup comes through Hopfgarten, who was 5th beaten 3.9L in the race.

Hopfgarten’s trainer Robert Heathcote has openly admitted the horse doesn’t run a yard past 1600m and won’t attempt any distance beyond the mile now for the remainder of his career, instead being set for Gr1 7 furlong / mile races. The fact he was a spent force a long way from home but still got within 4L of Pornichet isn’t flattering, for a horse some ridiculously touted a Cox Plate winner!

I think he’s only average, his Epsom 5th earlier this year was a career best but he carried 51kg that day. At WFA he lugs 8kg more. Not a WFA horse at this level. lay of the day.

3.

Who Shot Thebarman C J Waller C Reith

Melbourne / Sydney Cup placegetter resuming on the path of the Melbourne Cup again. Will be getting warm late in the piece but a top 5 hope at best, under these conditions.

4.

Beaten Up C J Waller G Schofield

An old 8 year old ‘trier’ who whacked away first up pretty well into 4th. Fitter for that run but lacks the dash to be competitive over 1600m in the company.

5.

Moriarty C J Waller J R Collett

Terrible in the Warwick Stakes running up to his 80/1 quote. Is 100/1 here and will likely run accordingly again.

6.

Junoob C J Waller J Parr

Stayer resuming. Might sneak into top 10.

7.

Grand Marshal C J Waller J A Cassidy

Sydney Cup winner resuming. Can pull out a decent finishing burst fresh on his day, but won’t trouble the pointy end of the prizes here.

8.

Opinion C J Waller K Mc Evoy

Stayer resuming. 100/1. Nothing more I can add.

9.

Hawkspur C J Waller Tommy Berry

The Hawkspur of a couple of seasons ago would have been highly competitive here. Woeful effort first up in Warwick Stakes where he could barely get past a horse, so impossible to see hm turning that around 2nd up.

10.

I’m Imposing   C J Waller T Angland

Resuming, will need further to show his best and doubt he’s up to this grade at best of times.

11.

Precedence James Cummings Tim Clark

Cummings stayer resuming. Would be one of the great wins of all time if he could Spring a monumental upset the week of the passing of the legendary JB Cummings, but not even the wildest optimist could tip him to win.

12.

Complacent J A O’Shea S Clipperton

Very average resuming in the Warwick Stakes but did have plenty against. Still, wait til he gets over further to start taking notice of him.

13.

Tremec   John Thompson Thomas Huet

Listed Class stayer resuming. 100/1. No hope.

14.

Kermadec C J Waller G Boss

Devastating Doncaster Handicap winner in the Autumn, carrying 51kg – he won by 2L eased right down to a canter. Had always shown promise but he stamped himself that day as a potential star.

Lovely return this prep in the Warwick Stakes, his clsoing 600, 400, 200m sectionals were;

The 400m & 200m splits were the fastest in the race. So clearly the step up from 1400m that day to the mile will suit to perfection. He loves the 1600m, with 2 wins and a 2nd from 4 goes, but really in fact that should read 4 from 4, as the two times he missed he was tragically unlucky.

The big question-mark over the horse, is the same one that lingers over every super talented 3 year old, who has turned 4.

Can they progress from Set Weight races against fellow juveniles or Handicaps against the older horse carrying postage stamp weights & step up to open WFA where they only get 0.5kg weight relief, instead of the usual 6 or 7kg. Kermadec rises 7.5kg on his Doncaster win. That’s a huge amount of weight & only the very best can cope with the rise in grade/weight.

It’s not good enough to maintain their level, they need to improve steeply. Judging on Kermadec’s 1st up run, he looks as though he’ll be one of the rare few that steps straight up to open WFA & wins.

This isn’t an easy task for him, but he’s still on a steep upward spiral & the sky really is the limit at this point in time. He could be the next super star of the Aussie turf?!?! Great winning hope.

15.

Preferment   C J Waller C Lever

Victorian Derby winner resuming. Can pull out a descent run fresh, but can’t win. Wait til he gets out to a staying trip.

16.

Royal Descent C J Waller J Bowman

Ultra consistent mare, who lacked the ‘super-star’ tag to date due to her nasty tendency to get worried out of races in two horse drives to the line! Finally broke through for another win last in the Warwick Stakes and did it with ease… her first in 19 runs since winning the 2013 Oaks by 10L. In those 19 runs however, 14 were at Group 1 level at 6 were placings, several by a nose / short half head margin.

I’ve always been of the opinion she’s ultra talented, but something wasn’t right between her ears. She would jog up to horses but just wouldn’t go past them & would then inevitably lose the dog fight. The way she came out and put them to the sword 1st up in the Warwick Stakes gave me the impression she’s finally hit her peak physically & mentally. I think she can go on and string a number of big wins together now starting here in the Chelmsford Stakes.

She’s drawn perfectly in the middle of the line to settle in the first half dozen, in the moving line ala the run she secured 1st up.

Has always promised to be a ‘super-star’ I think now she is finally ready to wear that tag proudly!

I’ve got it narrowed down to a race with 3 winnings chances, #1 HARTNELL who is impossible to leave out after what he did fresh last campaign, even if he is a touch of unders at around the $3.20 quote. #14 KERMADEC who looks the be the rising super star of Australian turf after a devastating Doncaster win in the Autumn & a slashing return in the Warwick Stakes a fortnight ago, when he savaged the line. Still has to take the quantum leap to become an open Gr1 WFA winner which he’ll need to virtually be in this race, but everything suggests he’ll take that step. #16 ROYAL DESCENT finally broke through to win again after a run of 19 outs and so many near misses, most of them at Gr1 or Gr2 level. I think her dominant Warwick Stakes win will do her confidence never ending good, and I really think she can step it up to a whole another level and dominant the Spring races she contests.

CROWNBET 200:400

So my top 3 in order is;

#16 ROYAL DESCENT $4.80

#1 HARTNELL $3.20

#14 KERMADEC $4.40

SUGGESTED BET: Back the mare ROYAL DESCENT @ $4.80, she’s my top pick and represents clearly the best value out of the 3 I’ve narrowed down to as winning possibilities.

Smart play is to take savers on #1 HARTNELL & #14 KERMADEC too though, because as I said I’ve got it as purely a race in three, so you’ll show some profit by backing the trio.

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