Friday 19 July 2019
Race 1 1 O’Reilly Star
Race 2 7 Sky Eye
Race 3 8 Big Regards
Race 4 7 Lim’s Torpedo
Race 5 3 Inferno*
Race 6 10 Hidden Promise
Race 7 12 Wassergeist
Race 8 2 Sacred Don
AUSTRALIAN GROUP 1 WINNER COMIN’ THROUGH WILL SURELY HAVE HIS MISSION OF RACING ON DUBAI WORLD CUP NIGHT AT MEYDAN RACECOURSE, DUBAI, ABORTED AFTER ANOTHER TERRIBLE EFFORT THIS TIME IN THE GROUP 2. 1600M ZABEEL CLASSIC WON BY THE GODOLPHIN / CHARLIE APPLEBY / WILLIAM BUICK MYSTICAL MAGIC.
COMIN’ THROUGH RACED WELL LAST AUTUMN AND INTO THE WINTER IN AUSTRALIA, CULMINATING WITH A WELL OVERDUE GROUP 1 WIN IN BRISBANE’S DOOMBEN CUP.
BUT HIS OVERSEAS CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN A TRAINWRECK. HE WENT TO HONG KONG TO RUN ON HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL DAY AT SHA TIN IN DECEMBER AND WAS TERRIBLE BUT TRAINER CHRIS WALLER DECIDED TO PUSH ON TO DUBAI. SINCE ARRIVING IN THE UAE HE’S PUT IN TWO MORE SHOCKERS, BUT HIS EFFORT . IN THE ZABEEL MILE WAS A NEW LOW POINT IN HIS CAREER.WALLER’S REPRESENTATIVE IN DUBAI SAID PRE-RACE THEY’D HOPE HE’D RUN WELL ENOUGH TO PUSH ON AND RUN WORLD CUP NIGHT BUT AFTER TONIGHT’S SHOWING SURELY IT’S A BRIDGE TOO FAR TO ASK HIM TO RUN IN A GR1 GIVEN THE TERRIBLE FORM HE’S BEEN IN SINCE DEPARTING AUSTRALIA.
RACE 1: 4.NINE BELOW ZERO $7.00
RACE 2: 4.LEGENDARY LUNCH $6.50
RACE 3 – GROUP 3: DUBAI MILLENIUM STAKES: 3.SPOTIFY $6.50
RACE 4 – GROUP 3: UAE OAKS: 10.SILVA*** $3.00
RACE 5 – GROUP 2: ZABEEL MILE: 2.MYSTICAL MAGIC* $4.00
RACE 6: 13.BEDOUIN’S STORY $5.00
Cup Week starts with a fusion of monochrome fashion, first-class racing and celebrations at AAMI Victoria Derby Day.
Regarded as one of the most prestigious days of racing of the spring, AAMI Victoria Derby Day features a card of nine Group races, four at the elite Group 1 level. The feature Group 1 AAMI Victoria Derby, worth over AUD $2 million, is Australia’s premier staying classic for three year olds.
Off the track, the fashion stakes are equally impressive, thanks to the Myer Fashions on the Field competition for both men and women. Ladies embrace the traditional black and white palette, while men often choose to wear a grey morning suit and top hat, creating classic racing elegance in a larger than life world of glamour and sophistication.
Australia’s greatest sporting and cultural icon, the A$7.3 million Lexus Melbourne Cup, is the feature of Cup Week, and a must-do sporting spectacle to witness live.
The excitement of being part of the front lawn and grandstands filled to the brim, the silent audience anticipating what will happen in the next three minutes, all waiting for their ‘I was at the Melbourne Cup when..’ moment.
While a racing event at its core, Cup Day transcends traditional sporting events with the combination of sport, fashion, celebrity and entertainment. With a reputation for fashion with a penchant for drama, it is the day to make your strongest fashion statement with an exotic or outrageous ensemble that matches the scale and splendor of the event.
There’s truly no other event like it.
The tradition of Kennedy Oaks Day is beauty, femininity, style and grace. It’s a day that the racegoer can embrace wonderment and escape the normal of a week day. The style is not just for the females, the men also take it up a notch, making it one of the best days of the year for men to dress up and explore fashion.
Kennedy Oaks Day’s significance on the fashion calendar is further reinforced with the crowning of the Myer Fashions on the Field Women’s Racewear national winner.
The racing highlight is the $1 million Group 1 Kennedy Oaks, which will see the best three-year-old fillies battle for victory in the ultimate test of their staying credentials.
Friends, fun and the finale of Cup Week, Seppelt Wines Stakes Day is a day at Flemington not to be missed. It’s a celebration of the week that’s just been, filled with quality racing, fashion and entertainment. Let the hair and heels down a little as the pace off the track softens for a family friendly day out.
The pace on-track doesn’t slow though with two Group 1 races. The illustrious A$2 million Group 1 Seppelt Mackinnon Stakes is the ultimate weight-for-age test for middle distance horses at Australia’s premier track, while the $1 million Group 1 VRC Sprint Classic will see some of the world’s fastest horses fly up the famous Flemington straight.
It’s also a big day for fashion’s future trendsetters with Stakes Day Fashions on the Field focusing on children and family. With a fun, friendly atmosphere, an abundance of free activities for children, as well as great racing, Seppelt Wines Stakes Day is the perfect way to finish Cup Week.
Shiraz clocked the fastest final 600-metres at Randwick on Saturday but the fastest final 200-metres went to a Group I winner which resumed in the Group II Tramway Stakes (1400m).
Lucia Valentina caught the eye flashing through the ruck to finish sixth in the Group II Tramway and the sectional times confirm what a terrific return it was.
The dual Group I winner from the Kris Lees stable clocked 11.52 seconds for the final 200-metres.
That split was marginally quicker than the final 200-metres of Tony McEvoy’s in-form six-year-old Shiraz, clocking 11.54 seconds.
An interesting final sectional came in the Group II Chelmsford Stakes (1600m) with Chris Waller’s evergreen 10-year-old I’m Imposing finishing ninth behind Complacent but clocking the fastest splits, with a final 600-metres of 35.22 seconds and a final 200-metres of 11.78 seconds.
Below is a table summarising the fastest final 600-metres and 200-metre splits at Randwick on Saturday.
Fastest Last 600m
Fastest Last 200m
|1 – Benchmark 83 (2000m)||
|2 – Benchmark 80 (1600m)||
Ruling Dynasty (34.84)
Ruling Dynasty (12.00)
|3 – Ming Dynasty (1400m)||
Intrepid Way (35.04)
Intrepid Way (11.92)
|4 – Furious Stakes (1200m)||
Speak Fondly (35.04)
Speak Fondly (11.88)
|5 – Concorde Stakes (1000m)||
|6 – Chelmsford Stakes (1600m)||
I’m Imposing (35.22)
I’m Imposing (11.78)
|7 – Tramway Stakes (1400m)||
Lucia Valentina (34.12)
Lucia Valentina (11.52)
|8 – Benchmark 85 (1400m)||
Sadlers Lake (34.92)
Sadlers Lake (11.80)
Chautauqua made an outstanding return to racing in Saturday’s Group II McEwen Stakes (1000m) at Moonee Valley.
Chautauqua ($2.60 fav) came from the second half of the field to beat Flamberge ($5.50) by 1 ½ lengths while Furnaces ($5.50) was third.
This is what the jockeys thought of the performance of their rides in the McEwen Stakes.
|Chautauqua||Dwayne Dunn||They went that quick and he was nice and smooth through the transition and he handled the track really well and that’s a bonus going forward. They weren’t going to quicken again from the turn so he was able to run home and pick them off.|
|2nd||Flamberge||Vlad Duric||Winner was just too good.|
|3rd||Furnaces||Patrick Moloney||I thought I was the winner at the top of the straight but he was just beaten by two seasoned Group I horses. He’s still a three-year-old and it’s onwards and upwards for him.|
|4th||Klishina||Craig Newitt||Went great but she was just outclassed.|
|5th||Sweet Emily||Harry Coffey||She ran really well. To run fifth in a Group II is a pretty good effort up against some of these elite horses so it was a really good training effort by Phil (Sweeney). There’s probably improvement.|
|6th||Tycoon Tara||Craig Williams||She’s a really mature mare and she competed really well first-up against those horses with the way the race was run. She’s in for a nice spring.|
|7th||The Quarterback||Matthew Allen||Ran super. Just run off his legs early. But he went well. He saved ground on the inside and he kept on really well.|
|8th||Kuro||Mark Zahra||Ran all right. He got a bit of a bump at the 200(m). He’ll improve a lot from that.|
|9th||It Is Written||Damien Oliver||Ran well. Wants further.|
|10th||Written Dash||Dean Yendall||Just run off her feet early.|
|11th||I’m All The Talk||Michael Walker||Being taken on didn’t suit our horse.|
|12th||Sistonic||Damian Lane||Just went too hard. Over-raced all the way.|
2015 IN-DEPTH CHELMSFORD STAKES PREVIEW + TIPS
|Race 6 – 3:45PM TATTERSALLS CLUB CHELMSFORD STAKES (1600 METRES)|
|Of $250,000.1st $150,000, 2nd $50,000, 3rd $25,000, 4th $12,500, 5th $5,000, 6th $2,500, 7th $2,500, 8th $2,500 GROUP 2
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.
Field Limit: 16 + 4 EM
|Hartnell||J A O’Shea||J B Mc Donald|
Was a Group winner in the UK before being transferred to Australia by Godolphin to tackle this year’s Sydney Autumn Carnival.
He had 4 runs in his debut Australian campaign and in that short space of time he stamped himself as a genuine Gr1 horse.
First-up in Australia he went around in the Gr1 Chipping Norton as a 15/1 shot with Godolphin stablemate Contributer a short priced favourite. Contributer got the cash, but Hartnell’s run was nothing short of breathtaking, flying home up along the inside to finish an ever narrowing 2nd place. His last 600/400/200m closing sectionals were ‘smoking’.
They were clearly the fastest on the whole card of racing and were half a second or a length and a half faster than anything else in the big Gr1 feature mile race. His last 600m was an unheard of 10.8L FASTER than the overall benchmark figure. He stamped himself as a genuine Group 1 horse from the get go!
Second up over 2000m he toyed with a quality field in the Gr3 Sky High Stakes, jog trotting home to score by 2L.
He then took the huge leap to Gr1 Weight-For-Age over 2400m in the $1.5million BMW. He travelled like the winner the whole way and despite a gallant effort by Japanese staying star, To The World, he drew well clear late to score comfortably and stamp himself as a super-star stayer. Any lingering questions over his class or ability were extinguished their and then at Rosehill.
He ran in the Sydney Cup after that but things all went wrong that day and the run was a total forgive.
He’s had two trials leading into this first up run. A repeat of his last first up effort in the Chipping Norton and not only will he win, he’ll give genuine Gr1 milers wind-burn in the process.
Great hope fresh he’s Top class.
|Pornichet||Ms G Waterhouse||B Shinn|
Solid 2nd resuming but was no match at all late for Royal Descent in the Warwick Stakes a fortnight ago. Will be fitter and appreciate the step up in distance, but that’s the case for a lot of the main hopes here as well. In the Warwick Stakes he settled on speed in second and crawled his first 800m 4.5L slower than average, given that soft run on speed I thought he was disappointing not being able to sprint home better, although finishing runner up. Officially he clocked the 10th (out of field of 13) fastest 600/400 & 200m sectionals in the race, or to put it another way, the 4th slowest in the race….
Plenty got carried away with his Queensland campaign, but I for one didn’t & won’t. His ratings / sectionals were nothing flash in winning a lowly Toowoomba Cup and then the Doomben Cup, which let be honest whilst it’s a Gr1 – it’s been a long while since we had a genuine Gr1 quality field in the event and this year’s edition that Pornichet won was no different. The best guide form wise I can give you from a personal viewpoint out of the Doomben Cup comes through Hopfgarten, who was 5th beaten 3.9L in the race.
Hopfgarten’s trainer Robert Heathcote has openly admitted the horse doesn’t run a yard past 1600m and won’t attempt any distance beyond the mile now for the remainder of his career, instead being set for Gr1 7 furlong / mile races. The fact he was a spent force a long way from home but still got within 4L of Pornichet isn’t flattering, for a horse some ridiculously touted a Cox Plate winner!
I think he’s only average, his Epsom 5th earlier this year was a career best but he carried 51kg that day. At WFA he lugs 8kg more. Not a WFA horse at this level. lay of the day.
|Who Shot Thebarman||C J Waller||C Reith|
Melbourne / Sydney Cup placegetter resuming on the path of the Melbourne Cup again. Will be getting warm late in the piece but a top 5 hope at best, under these conditions.
|Beaten Up||C J Waller||G Schofield|
An old 8 year old ‘trier’ who whacked away first up pretty well into 4th. Fitter for that run but lacks the dash to be competitive over 1600m in the company.
|Moriarty||C J Waller||J R Collett|
Terrible in the Warwick Stakes running up to his 80/1 quote. Is 100/1 here and will likely run accordingly again.
|Junoob||C J Waller||J Parr|
Stayer resuming. Might sneak into top 10.
|Grand Marshal||C J Waller||J A Cassidy|
Sydney Cup winner resuming. Can pull out a decent finishing burst fresh on his day, but won’t trouble the pointy end of the prizes here.
|Opinion||C J Waller||K Mc Evoy|
Stayer resuming. 100/1. Nothing more I can add.
|Hawkspur||C J Waller||Tommy Berry|
The Hawkspur of a couple of seasons ago would have been highly competitive here. Woeful effort first up in Warwick Stakes where he could barely get past a horse, so impossible to see hm turning that around 2nd up.
|I’m Imposing||C J Waller||T Angland|
Resuming, will need further to show his best and doubt he’s up to this grade at best of times.
|Precedence||James Cummings||Tim Clark|
Cummings stayer resuming. Would be one of the great wins of all time if he could Spring a monumental upset the week of the passing of the legendary JB Cummings, but not even the wildest optimist could tip him to win.
|Complacent||J A O’Shea||S Clipperton|
Very average resuming in the Warwick Stakes but did have plenty against. Still, wait til he gets over further to start taking notice of him.
|Tremec||John Thompson||Thomas Huet|
Listed Class stayer resuming. 100/1. No hope.
|Kermadec||C J Waller||G Boss|
Devastating Doncaster Handicap winner in the Autumn, carrying 51kg – he won by 2L eased right down to a canter. Had always shown promise but he stamped himself that day as a potential star.
Lovely return this prep in the Warwick Stakes, his clsoing 600, 400, 200m sectionals were;
The 400m & 200m splits were the fastest in the race. So clearly the step up from 1400m that day to the mile will suit to perfection. He loves the 1600m, with 2 wins and a 2nd from 4 goes, but really in fact that should read 4 from 4, as the two times he missed he was tragically unlucky.
The big question-mark over the horse, is the same one that lingers over every super talented 3 year old, who has turned 4.
Can they progress from Set Weight races against fellow juveniles or Handicaps against the older horse carrying postage stamp weights & step up to open WFA where they only get 0.5kg weight relief, instead of the usual 6 or 7kg. Kermadec rises 7.5kg on his Doncaster win. That’s a huge amount of weight & only the very best can cope with the rise in grade/weight.
It’s not good enough to maintain their level, they need to improve steeply. Judging on Kermadec’s 1st up run, he looks as though he’ll be one of the rare few that steps straight up to open WFA & wins.
This isn’t an easy task for him, but he’s still on a steep upward spiral & the sky really is the limit at this point in time. He could be the next super star of the Aussie turf?!?! Great winning hope.
|Preferment||C J Waller||C Lever|
Victorian Derby winner resuming. Can pull out a descent run fresh, but can’t win. Wait til he gets out to a staying trip.
|Royal Descent||C J Waller||J Bowman|
Ultra consistent mare, who lacked the ‘super-star’ tag to date due to her nasty tendency to get worried out of races in two horse drives to the line! Finally broke through for another win last in the Warwick Stakes and did it with ease… her first in 19 runs since winning the 2013 Oaks by 10L. In those 19 runs however, 14 were at Group 1 level at 6 were placings, several by a nose / short half head margin.
I’ve always been of the opinion she’s ultra talented, but something wasn’t right between her ears. She would jog up to horses but just wouldn’t go past them & would then inevitably lose the dog fight. The way she came out and put them to the sword 1st up in the Warwick Stakes gave me the impression she’s finally hit her peak physically & mentally. I think she can go on and string a number of big wins together now starting here in the Chelmsford Stakes.
She’s drawn perfectly in the middle of the line to settle in the first half dozen, in the moving line ala the run she secured 1st up.
Has always promised to be a ‘super-star’ I think now she is finally ready to wear that tag proudly!
I’ve got it narrowed down to a race with 3 winnings chances, #1 HARTNELL who is impossible to leave out after what he did fresh last campaign, even if he is a touch of unders at around the $3.20 quote. #14 KERMADEC who looks the be the rising super star of Australian turf after a devastating Doncaster win in the Autumn & a slashing return in the Warwick Stakes a fortnight ago, when he savaged the line. Still has to take the quantum leap to become an open Gr1 WFA winner which he’ll need to virtually be in this race, but everything suggests he’ll take that step. #16 ROYAL DESCENT finally broke through to win again after a run of 19 outs and so many near misses, most of them at Gr1 or Gr2 level. I think her dominant Warwick Stakes win will do her confidence never ending good, and I really think she can step it up to a whole another level and dominant the Spring races she contests.
So my top 3 in order is;
#16 ROYAL DESCENT $4.80
#1 HARTNELL $3.20
#14 KERMADEC $4.40
SUGGESTED BET: Back the mare ROYAL DESCENT @ $4.80, she’s my top pick and represents clearly the best value out of the 3 I’ve narrowed down to as winning possibilities.
Smart play is to take savers on #1 HARTNELL & #14 KERMADEC too though, because as I said I’ve got it as purely a race in three, so you’ll show some profit by backing the trio.