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Sprint to oblivion? Breeding selections pose threat to hardy Thoroughbred stayers

Sprint to oblivion?

Breeding selections pose threat to hardy Thoroughbred stayers

Nature-Strip-winning-Creswick-AAP
SPEED MERCHANT, NATURE STRIP

In Australia, where there is an emphasis on early two-year old speed, there were almost twice as many C:C horses among elite race winners in the population compared to Europe and North America (46% compared to 26% and 28%) and there were almost seven times as many C:Cs as T:Ts within the Australian population.

 

(LITTLE WONDER WE CAN PRODUCE SOME OF THE GREAT SPRINTERS OF THE MODERN ERA, WITH SO MANY C:C HORSES BRED IN AUSTRALIA, BUT THIS ALSO CLEARLY EXPLAINS WHY WE CANNOT PRODUCE HIGH QUALITY STAYING HORSES IN THIS COUNTRY. WINX ISN’T A STAYER EITHER BEFORE YOU GO FOR THAT ARGUMENT, SHE’S A MILER / MILE & A 1/4 HORSE. YES SHE WON A 2200M GROUP 1 QLD OAKS, BUT THAT WAS ON SHEER CLASS, AGAINST A WEAK FIELD, NOT ON STAYING ABILITY. TRUE STAYERS HAVE TO BE ABLE TO RUN 2400M-3200M+ IN A STRONG FASHION. OUR RACES DON’T CATER FOR STAYERS EVEN IF THEY DID – THE RACES WOULD BE FULL OF HACKS WHO CAN’T WIN ANY QUALITY OF RACES, SIMILAR TO WHAT BECOMES OF FLAT HORSES WHO FAIL THEN TURN TO JUMPING IN AUSTRALIA, OUR LOCAL BREEDING INDUSTRY DOESN’T BREED STAYERS, THEY BREED THE “C:C HORSES” AS MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE)

 

The hardy Thoroughbred stayer could become a thing of the past according to researchers, after findings published this week point to the importance of the so-called “speed gene” in determining race distance.

The findings are said to end any dispute over the central role of the “speed gene”.

However, the research has relevance for the wider Thoroughbred population, given the major influence of the gene.

“Since there is just one gene that is a major player in the sprinting versus staying stakes, it is extremely vulnerable to selection pressures,” says Associate Professor of Equine Science, Emmeline Hill, who is with University College Dublin.

“This has been recognised by the concern in the industry over the potential reduction in genetic diversity by favouring precocious, commercially attractive horses.

“This concern is well justified; the staying type is at serious threat of extinction in the global population.”

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WAS SHOCKING’S MELBOURNE CUP WIN IN 2009 THE LAST TIME WE’LL SEE AN AUSTRALIAN BRED HORSE WIN THE WORLD’S / AUSTRALIA’S GREATEST STAYING RACE – THE MELBOURNE CUP???

Staying types have been found to make up less than 17% of elite race winners in Britain and Ireland and less than 7% of the Australian elite winning population.

“This is a complete reversal from the picture of genetics of the Thoroughbred 150 years ago.”

Hill says it is important that the industry incentivises the breeding and racing of stayers to ensure their ongoing viability in the industry.

Hill led the latest research into the gene, published this week in the Equine Veterinary Journal.

For the study, the genetic and race records of more than 3000 Thoroughbred racehorses who raced in Europe, Australia, South Africa and the USA were analysed. It was found that the myostatin gene, or speed gene, is the almost singular genetic determinant of a horse’s optimum race distance.

The notion of a single gene being responsible for a performance trait in Thoroughbreds has previously been challenged. However, Hill said the new study ended any dispute over the central role of the speed gene.

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FIGURE #1

“We have replicated and validated our original research findings on a massively larger scale. The power in the numbers has shown that the association of the ‘speed gene’ with race distance is as statistically strong as the most highly genetically influenced traits in humans, including eye colour and the probability of an individual going bald,” she says.

The study found that, in Europe, more than 83% of ‘speed gene’ type C:C (sprint) horses had an optimum race distance of a mile or shorter and more than 89% of T:T (staying) horses ran best over distances greater than a mile. (Full details for all regions are in Figure #1)

The trend was consistent across all race regions but the race pattern influenced the distribution of the speed gene types.

In Australia, where there is an emphasis on early two-year old speed, there were almost twice as many C:C horses among elite race winners in the population compared to Europe and North America (46% compared to 26% and 28%) and there were almost seven times as many C:Cs as T:Ts within the Australian population.

The main differences between sprinters and staying type horses has been shown to be caused by a mutation in the speed gene that alters the rate of muscle growth and fibre type differences in the muscle.

Although myostatin is the most important gene, the latest research has also identified additional genes which have moderate effects on the staying ability of a horse.

Hill says the application of genetics to decision-making about how horses were trained and raced is transforming the industry.

“Our results clearly show that using evidence-based science will lead to more accurate placing of horses in races that are best suited to their genetic potential. Horses are a product of their inherited genetic characteristics as well as the environment.

“The management of the horse is inarguably key in any horse’s success, but DNA differences are the undisputed differences that make them individuals. This genetic information is leading to horses being trained and raced for their genetic potential and is providing a clear economic advantage to owners and trainers,” she says.

Hill, who is also chief science officer at Irish equine science company Plusvital, which provides genetic testing for horses, says the company does not operate its testing services in the sales environment which could further accelerate this trend toward sprint types at the expense of stayers.

“However, it is essential that the industry incentivises the breeding and racing of stayers to reduce the pressure to breed for the sales ring.”

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THE WORLD’S GREATEST EVER SPRINTER BLACK CAVIAR

2017 MELBOURNE CUP FIELD + EXPERT TIPS

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1. HARTNELL

James Cummings Damian Lane 12 57.5kg

$31 – BACK HERE NOW

 

2. ALMANDIN

Robert Hickmott Frankie Dettori 14 56.5kg

$9.00 – BACK HERE NOW

 

3. HUMIDOR

Darren Weir Blake Shinn 13 56kg

$9.00 – BACK HERE NOW

 

4. TIBERIAN

Alain Couetil Olivier Peslier 23 55.5kg

$34 – BACK HERE NOW

 

5. MARMELO

Hughie Morrison Hugh Bowman 16 55kg

$9.50 – BACK HERE NOW

 

6. RED CARDINAL

Andreas Wohler Kerrin McEvoy 24 55kg

$17.00 – BACK HERE NOW

 

7. JOHANNES VERMEER

Aidan O’Brien Ben Melham 3 54.5kg

$12.00 – BACK HERE NOW

 

8. BONDI BEACH

Robert Hickmott Michael Walker 1 54kg

$71 – BACK HERE NOW

 

9. MAX DYNAMITE

William Mullins Zac Purton 2 54kg

$18 – BACK HERE NOW

 

10. VENTURA STORM

David & B Hayes & T Dabernig Glen Boss 6 54kg

$34 – BACK HERE NOW

 

11. WHO SHOT THEBARMAN

Chris Waller Tommy Berry 20 54kg

$61 – BACK HERE NOW

 

12. WICKLOW BRAVE

William Mullins Stephen Baster 8 54kg

$81 – BACK HERE NOW

 

13. BIG DUKE

Darren Weir Brenton Avdulla 5 53.5kg

$81 – BACK HERE NOW

 

14. US ARMY RANGER

Joseph O’Brien Jamie Spencer 22 53.5kg

$31 – BACK HERE NOW

 

15. BOOM TIME

David & B Hayes & T Dabernig Cory Parish 9 53kg

$31 – BACK HERE NOW

 

16. GALLANTE

Robert Hickmott Michael Dee 18 53kg

$151 – BACK HERE NOW

 

17. LIBRAN

Chris Waller Dwayne Dunn 7 53kg

$51 – BACK HERE NOW

 

18. NAKEETA

Iain Jardine Glyn Schofield 19 53kg

$34 – BACK HERE NOW

 

19. SINGLE GAZE

Nick Olive Kathy O’Hara 11 53kg

$51 – BACK HERE NOW

 

20. WALL OF FIRE

Hugo Palmer Craig Williams 15 53kg

$14 – BACK HERE NOW

 

21. THOMAS HOBSON

William Mullins Joao Moreira 21 52kg

$17 – BACK HERE NOW

 

22. REKINDLING

Joseph O’Brien Corey Brown 4 51.5kg

$16 – BACK HERE NOW

 

23. AMELIE’S STAR

Darren Weir Dean Yendall 10 51kg

$23 – BACK HERE NOW

 

24. CISTMONTANE

Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Beau Mertens 17 50kg

$61 – BACK HERE NOW

 

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THE KING TIPS:

1ST: 3.HUMIDOR $9.00

2ND: 7.JOHANNES VERMEER $12.00

3RD: 20.WALL OF FIRE $13.00

4TH: 2.ALMANDIN $9.00

5TH: 21.THOMAS HOBSON $17.00

 

LEO SCHLINK (Herald Sun chief racing reporter)

1. MARMELO

2. Wall Of Fire

3. Almandin

Roughie: Red Cardinal

 

SIMON MOY (Superracing)

1. BIG DUKE

2. Marmelo

3. Johannes Vermeer

 

CHRIS VERNUCCIO (Superracing)

1. MARMELO

2. Almandin

3. Tiberian

Roughie: Wicklow Brave

 

RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph racing editor)

1. RED CARDINAL

2. Marmelo

3. Johannes Vermeer

Roughie: Single Gaze

 

BRAD DAVIDSON (Racing reporter)

1. MARMELO

2. Red Cardinal

3. Tiberian

Roughie: Nakeeta

 

DARREN PRENDERGAST (Superracing)

1. JOHANNES VERMEER

2. Marmelo

3. Red Cardinal

Roughie: Hartnell

 

RON DUFFICY (Sky Thoroughbred Central)

1. WALL OF FIRE

2. Almandin

3. Marmelo

Roughie: Thomas Hobson

 

GARY CRISPE (Timeform)

1. HUMIDOR

2. Marmelo

3. Wall Of Fire

Roughie: Rekindling

 

NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail racing editor)

1. MARMELO

2. Wall Of Fire

3. Johannes Vermeer

Roughie: Red Cardinal

ROBERT CRADDOCK (The Courier-Mail chief sports writer)

1. JOHANNES VERMEER

2. Rekindling

3. Red Cardinal

Roughie: Wicklow Brave

 

SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman)

1. MARMELO

2. Tiberian

3. Red Cardinal

Roughie: Boom Time

 

PAUL MICALLEF (Sportsman)

1. JOHANNES VERMEER

2. Marmelo

3. Humidor

Roughie: Hartnell

ROYAL ASCOT 2017: DAY 5 TIPS, 24 JUNE

ROYAL ASCOT 2017: DAY 5 TIPS, 24 JUNE

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RACE 1 CHESHAM STAKES: 8.MASAR $7.00 – 2 UNITS EW

 

RACE 2 WOLFERTON HANDICAP: 6.KHAIRAAT $4.50 – 5 UNITS WIN

 

RACE 3 GROUP 2 HARDWICKE STAKES: 6.DARTMOUTH $2.62 – 7 UNITS WIN

 

RACE 4 GROUP 1 DIAMOND JUBILEE STAKES: 7.LIMATO $3.25 – 4 UNITS WIN

 

RACE 5 WOKINGHAM STAKES: 17.EDWARD LEWIS $15.00 – 1 UNIT EW

 

RACE 6 QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES: 1.WINNING STORY $9.00 – 2 UNITS EW

 

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BEST BET: RACE 3 – 6 DARTMOUTH @$2.62

MICK DITMANN ORCHESTRATES HUGE BETTING PLUNGE

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Mick Dittman was one of Australia’s most successful jockeys during his career, but the Queenslander always had a secret urge to be a part of a well-executed plunge. This was easier said than done, as Dittman had hundreds of thousands of followers around Australia and rode for the nation’s leading trainer, Tommy Smith.

mick dittman

One day, standing alongside Smith at the trainer’s Tulloch Lodge at Randwick, they watched a float full of two-year-old fillies being unloaded. One filly took Dittman’s eye to such an extent that he arrived the following morning at 4.30 to ride her in slow work – a rare occurrence for the stable jockey of such a powerful outfit.

‘Every day, I’d get there and ride her,’ Dittman recalled. ‘We never went fast because I knew she had what it took, and I didn’t want all the clockers at Randwick to get any hint of her ability. I’d either work her at 4.30 or 10.00 in the morning, when no one was around. Perhaps on the odd morning I’d let her sprint the odd furlong, but that’d be up the back where no one could see her. I’d learned from a very early age that bookies and their spies miss very little of a morning and, if they do, they pay through the nose that afternoon.’

After the filly had been in work for six weeks, Smith announced that he was going to Europe for a month and his brother Ernie would run the stable.

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‘This was a bit of luck,’ said Dittman. ‘Tommy was the best trainer in Australia, but if he’d known how good this filly was he would’ve told all of Sydney and she would’ve started 1–5 wherever we took her. So I said to Ernie: “There’s a quid to be made here. Only you and I know how good she’s going, no one else has been on her back and I galloped her the other morning at about 10.30 when no one could see her, and her work was sensational.” ’

Both Dittman and Ernie agreed that a two-year-old race at Warwick Farm the following week was ideal for a plunge. ‘Just a couple of hours before acceptances, I rang Ernie and said: “Look, put Mark De Montfort on her and I’ll ride the stablemate.” He said: “But Mick, you’ve done months of work on her and you’re giving up the ride.” And I replied: “Let’s hope the bookies are just as confused as you are! Ring De Montfort and tell him he’s got the ride. Tell him that the filly is fairly backward and will need more time before she shows her best and give me the same instructions for the one I’m riding. And when we get into the mounting yard, repeat these instructions and I’ll handle the rest.”

‘When we got behind the gates, I trotted up to De Montfort and said: “I’ve got a message from Ernie for you. Forget those instructions, kick up on her early – don’t worry if you’re caught six wide as she’s capable of breaking the track record.” He said to me: “Are you for real, Mick?” I said, “I’ve never been more serious in my life – just do as you’re told.” ’

The filly strolled away to win easily and was backed from 3–1 into 4–7. Tommy Smith arrived back two days later and declared the filly the best two year old in Australia – a statement that Dittman was glad the trainer released post-race.

Her name was Speedcheck and she finished second behind Rory’s Jester in the 1985 Golden Slipper. Of course, Dittman, who was known as ‘The Enforcer’, had the last word on her success: ‘You do understand that it’s against the rules of racing for jockeys to bet.’

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2015 Cox Plate: Detailed look at the form & race replay’s of the 3 International horses

Before 2014 no international horse from Europe or Asia had been able to claim success in the Cox Plate, in fact very very few had even attempted it, and the one’s who had were often considered ‘third stringers’. But in the short space of just 12 months since Adelaide won the 2014 Cox Plate prepared by Aidan O’Brien the Irish master trainer, that’s all changed. Three top class Gr1 performed horses from Europe will line up in Saturday’s ‘WFA Championship of Australasia’ making form study a nightmare for those not wanting to troll through hours of video’s and overseas form. So we’ve done it for you and made a collaboration of the replays of the 3 horses and all their form. So sit back and have a look and see what you make of the overseas trio planning to take our prestigious WFA crown back to the norther hemisphere again.

After doing stringent form analysis and watching every replay at my disposal numerous times I’ve ranked the 3 for Saturday’s Cox Plate as follows:

1st choice.AROD

just ahead of

2nd choice.HIGHLAND REEL

decent gap to

3rd choice.GAILO CHOP

Read the evidence below in my extensive report as to why I’ve ranked them as such;

crownbet $1000 for $1000

#8-AROD

arod

11 starts; 4 wins, 5 placings.

Winning distances: 1609m, 1713m, 2012m, 2018m

Prize money: £1,008,516

CAREER:

#1

2  GB – KEMPTON PARK AW 11 Nov 2013
 British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Div 2) MDN SW 1609m $6,960 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:39.41
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 7 ELITE ARMY 60 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (5) SAEED BIN SUROOR 5-1
2nd 9 INTERMEDIUM 60 ADAM KIRBY (12) C APPLEBY 7-2
3rd 1 AROD -3.5L 60 J P SPENCER (7) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 7-4
4th 2 BE SEEING YOU 60 FREDERIK TYLICKI (14) R CHARLTON 14-1
5th 13 NEWMARKET WARRIOR 60 T P QUEALLY (3) M L W BELL 12-1
6th 4 CAPE SUMMIT 60 M HARLEY (11) ED DUNLOP 66-1
7th 11 MAIRISE 60 SEB SANDERS (8) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 25-1
8th 10 LIL ROCKERFELLER 60 S M LEVEY (2) R HANNON 25-1
9th 8 FRACTAL 60 MARTIN LANE (6) DAVID SIMCOCK 33-1
10th 5 CURBYOURENTHUSIASM 60 D SWEENEY (1) DAVID SIMCOCK 66-1
11th 6 DUMFRIES HOUSE 60 STEVE DROWNE (13) R CHARLTON 40-1
12th 14 WIGGINS 60 JIM CROWLEY (9) R M BECKETT 20-1
13th 12 MR SMITH 60 WILLIAM BUICK (10) JOHN GOSDEN 8-1
14th 3 BISHOP WULSTAN 60 W TWISTON-DAVIES (4) (-1.5) R HANNON 66-1

R&S COMMENT: tracked leaders, went 3rd 3f out, ridden and no impression from over 1f out

#2

4  GB – WINDSOR 14 Apr 2014
 Injured Jockeys Fund Maiden Stakes MDN SW 2018m $7,284 SOT=GF
RaceT=2:05.87
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 5 AROD +5.00L 54.5 J P SPENCER (10) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 4-5
2nd 13 SEA THE BLOOM 52 ANDREA ATZENI (7) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 3-1
3rd 3 RIDGEWAY STORM 63 T P QUEALLY (11) A KING 16-1
4th 8 KING KINSHASA 54.5 LEMOS DE SOUZA (1) LUCA CUMANI 20-1
5th 6 FILOSOFO 54.5 CAMERON HARDIE (6) (-3) R HANNON 66-1
6th 11 HOLBERG SUITE 52 NICKY MACKAY (5) JOHN GOSDEN 10-1
7th 4 NESTON GRACE 61 ROBERT WINSTON (8) S HODGSON 33-1
8th 12 MALORY TOWERS 52 HAYLEY TURNER (12) JAMES FANSHAWE 33-1
9th 9 LORD BRANTWOOD 54.5 W TWISTON-DAVIES (13) (-1.5) M R CHANNON 66-1
10th 2 PENTAMETER 63 L P KENIRY (4) JOHN BUTLER 66-1
11th 7 FLIGHT FIGHT 54.5 T E DURCAN (3) C F WALL 66-1
12th 1 ECHOES OF WAR 63 DAVID PROBERT (9) J J BRIDGER 100-1

R&S COMMENT: took keen hold tracking leaders in 5th, headway to lead 7f out and raced keenly, came clear final 2f, very easily

#3

*FORM NOTE: The Dante is the major lead up race to England’s most famous and prestigious race the Epsom Derby. Always contested by some of the cream of every 3yo season. Winner of the race The Grey Gatsby would subsequently run skip the Epsom Derby to run in the Gr1 French Derby which he dominated to win by 3L, later in that same preparation he was a narrow 2nd to Epsom Derby winner- Australia in the Gr1 Juddmonte International a prestigious WFA race open to all 3yo+, before winning the Irish Champion Stakes also at Gr1 level. SO FOR AROD TO RUN THE GREY GATSBY TO 0.75L BEFORE HE EMBARKED ON A PREP THAT YIELDED 2X GR1 WINS & A GR1 2ND SAYS THE FORM IS VERY STRONG!!!

3  GB – YORK 15 May 2014
 Betfred Dante Stakes (Group 2) (G2) SW 2092m $232,040 SOT=GS
RaceT=2:08.99
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 5 THE GREY GATSBY 57 RYAN MOORE (6) K A RYAN 9-1
2nd 1 AROD -0.75 57 J P SPENCER (4) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 8-1
3rd 6 TRUE STORY 57 K FALLON (3) SAEED BIN SUROOR 8-13
4th 3 ODEON 57 GREG LEE (5) J G GIVEN 20-1
5th 2 BUNKER 57 FRANKIE DETTORI (2) R HANNON 9-2
6th 4 SAAB ALMANAL 57 SHANE KELLY (1) JAMES FANSHAWE 50-1

R&S COMMENT: held up in last place, headway over 2f out, ridden and no impression over 1f out, rallying when switched left entering final furlong, stayed on to go 2nd near finish

#4

5  GB – EPSOM DOWNS 7 Jun 2014
 Investec Derby (Group 1) (G1) 2414m $2,134,800 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:33.63
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 2 AUSTRALIA 57 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (12) A P O’BRIEN 11-8
2nd 8 KINGSTON HILL 57 ANDREA ATZENI (2) ROGER VARIAN 15-2
3rd 13 ROMSDAL 57 R HUGHES (11) JOHN GOSDEN 20-1
4th 1 AROD -8.5L 57 J P SPENCER (3) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 20-1
5th 12 RED GALILEO 57 OISIN MURPHY (8) ED DUNLOP 100-1
6th 16 WESTERN HYMN 57 WILLIAM BUICK (13) JOHN GOSDEN 10-1
7th 15 TRUE STORY 57 K FALLON (1) SAEED BIN SUROOR 8-1
8th 4 FASCINATING ROCK 57 PAT SMULLEN (15) DERMOT K WELD 12-1
9th 3 LOTUS BREEZE 57 D P MCDONOGH (6) JOHN M OXX 12-1
10th 7 KINGFISHER 57 C O’DONOGHUE (16) A P O’BRIEN 50-1
11th 6 JOLLY GENE 57 DAVID PROBERT (5) A M BALDING 50-1
12th 9 ORCHESTRA 57 J A HEFFERNAN (14) A P O’BRIEN 16-1
13th 10 OUR CHANNEL 57 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (10) W J HAGGAS 50-1
14th 11 PINZOLO 57 J DOYLE (4) C APPLEBY 40-1
15th 14 SUDDEN WONDER 57 K J MANNING (9) C APPLEBY 66-1
16th 5 GEOFFREY CHAUCER 57 RYAN MOORE (7) A P O’BRIEN 10-1

R&S COMMENT: took keen hold in mid-division, steady headway over 2f out, went modest 4th inside final 2f, never going pace of leading trio

#5

Finish Details Unavialable. Won by 9L

9L
1st of 3
17 Jul 2014
GB – LEICESTER AT THE RACES SKY 415 CONDITIONS STAKES 3yo SW

R&S COMMENT: travelled strongly in 2nd, led over 1f out, soon clear, very easily

#6

FORM NOTE: Europe’s Best of the Best contest this race and this instillment was no different. Epsom Derby winner Australia again won.

4  GB – YORK 20 Aug 2014
 Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (G1) SW 2092m $1,237,570 SOT=GF
RaceT=2:07.35
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 4 AUSTRALIA 56 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (6) A P O’BRIEN 8-13
2nd 6 THE GREY GATSBY 56 R HUGHES (2) K A RYAN 12-1
3rd 2 TELESCOPE 60 RYAN MOORE (5) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 5-1
4th 1 MUKHADRAM 60 PAUL HANAGAN (4) W J HAGGAS 5-1
5th 3 AROD -9.0L 56 J P SPENCER (3) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 20-1
6th 5 KINGFISHER 56 J A HEFFERNAN (1) A P O’BRIEN 100-1

R&S COMMENT: tracked leaders, pushed along and effort 3f out, edged left and one pace over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

#7

6  GB – NEWMARKET (ROWLEY) 16 Apr 2015
 Weatherbys General Stud Book Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (G3) SW 1810m $115,760 SOT=GF
RaceT=1:51.81
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 4 FRENCH NAVY 56.5 WILLIAM BUICK (4) C APPLEBY 3-1
2nd 2 AROD -0.75L 56.5 ANDREA ATZENI (7) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 10-3
3rd 7 MONDIALISTE 56.5 D TUDHOPE (5) D O’MEARA 10-3
4th 8 NICEOFYOUTOTELLME 56.5 J DOYLE (1) R M BECKETT 10-1
5th 5 GRANDEUR 56.5 RYAN MOORE (6) J NOSEDA 6-1
6th 3 EDUCATE 56.5 ADAM KIRBY (2) I MOHAMMED 16-1
7th 1 GLORY AWAITS 59 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (8) K A RYAN 9-1
8th 6 IMAN 56.5 TOM EAVES (3) MRS I GANSERA-LEVEQUE 100-1

R&S COMMENT: pulled hard tracked leader, ridden to lead entering final 2f, headed inside final furlong, unable to quicken

arod2

#8

5  GB – NEWBURY 16 May 2015
 Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Str) (G1) SW 1609m $672,040 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:38.09
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 12 NIGHT OF THUNDER 57 J DOYLE (3) R HANNON 11-4
2nd 13 TOORMORE 57 R HUGHES (15) R HANNON 10-1
3rd 2 AROD -1.15L 57 ANDREA ATZENI (6) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 16-1
4th 18 INTEGRAL 56 RYAN MOORE (9) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 11-4
5th 4 CABLE BAY 57 J P SPENCER (10) C HILLS 66-1
6th 8 HERE COMES WHEN 57 JIM CROWLEY (4) A M BALDING 14-1
7th 3 BRETON ROCK 57 MARTIN LANE (13) DAVID SIMCOCK 40-1
8th 1 ALJAMAAHEER 57 PAUL HANAGAN (8) ROGER VARIAN 16-1
9th 7 CUSTOM CUT 57 D TUDHOPE (2) D O’MEARA 7-1
10th 9 HORS DE COMBAT 57 FREDERIK TYLICKI (7) JAMES FANSHAWE 25-1
11th 6 COUGAR MOUNTAIN 57 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (17) A P O’BRIEN 25-1
12th 5 CAPTAIN CAT 57 GEORGE BAKER (14) R CHARLTON 20-1
13th 14 TOP NOTCH TONTO 57 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (11) BRIAN ELLISON 33-1
14th 10 MASTER CARPENTER 57 STEVE DROWNE (16) ROD MILLMAN 100-1
15th 11 MOOHAARIB 57 M HARLEY (12) M BOTTI 10-1
16th 17 YUFTEN 57 FRANKIE DETTORI (18) W J HAGGAS 25-1

R&S COMMENT: tracked leaders, ridden inside final furlong, kept on towards finish

#9

3  GB – EPSOM DOWNS 5 Jun 2015
 Investec Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (G3) SW 1713m $140,280 SOT=GS
RaceT=1:43.09
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 2 AROD +2.0L 59.5 ANDREA ATZENI (6) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 7-4
2nd 1 CUSTOM CUT 61.5 RYAN MOORE (1) D O’MEARA 7-2
3rd 4 COMPLICIT 59.5 LUKE MORRIS (3) PAUL COLE 8-1
4th 7 TULLIUS 59.5 JIMMY FORTUNE (2) A M BALDING 7-1
5th 3 CALLING OUT 59.5 JIM CROWLEY (5) DAVID SIMCOCK 14-1
6th 5 MARCRET 59.5 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (7) MRS R A CARR 33-1
99th 6 SHIFTING POWER 59.5 R HUGHES (4) R HANNON 7-2

R&S COMMENT: soon led, 3 lengths clear over 3f out, pushed out final furlong

#10

2  GB – ASCOT 11 Jul 2015
 Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) (Rnd) (G2) SW 1609m $225,870 SOT=GF
RaceT=1:40.31
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 1 AROD +1.5L 57.5 ANDREA ATZENI (3) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 6-4
2nd 6 LIGHTNING SPEAR 57.5 OISIN MURPHY (1) OLLY STEVENS 10-3
3rd 3 CABLE BAY 57.5 OLIVIER PESLIER (4) C HILLS 5-1
4th 5 HORS DE COMBAT 57.5 T P QUEALLY (5) JAMES FANSHAWE 8-1
5th 9 WANNABE YOURS 57.5 ROBERT HAVLIN (2) JOHN GOSDEN 12-1
6th 2 BOW CREEK 57.5 WILLIAM BUICK (8) C APPLEBY 15-2

R&S COMMENT: made all, clear over 1f out, kept on well, unchallenged

#11

FORM NOTE: French grey champion, Solow is rated in the top 5 horses currently on the planet. He’s a 5 time Gr1 winner- The Dubai Turf, Prix D’Isphahan, Queen Anne Stakes (Royal Ascot beating worlds #2 ranked horse Able Friend), Sussex Stakes, QE II Stakes. His win over Arod was the 4th Gr1 win he’d had in a row so he was in rarefied form, and out of those 4 wins Arod margin wise, got closer than any horse he beat in those 4 races! THIS FORM IS THE BEST IN THE WORLD OF IT’S KIND. SUGGESTS AROD COULD WIN ANY RACE FROM 1600M TO 2000M IN THE WORLD ON HIS DAY.

3  GB – GOODWOOD 29 Jul 2015
 Qatar Sussex Stakes (British Champions Series) (Supported By Qatar Petroleum) (Group 1) (G1) SW 1609m $2,053,390 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:39.18
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 6 SOLOW 61 MAXIME GUYON (5) F HEAD 2-5
2nd 1 AROD -0.75L 61 ANDREA ATZENI (8) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 6-1
3rd 3 GABRIAL 61 PAUL HANAGAN (2) R A FAHEY 50-1
4th 4 HERE COMES WHEN 61 JIM CROWLEY (3) A M BALDING 33-1
5th 2 COUGAR MOUNTAIN 61 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (1) A P O’BRIEN 12-1
6th 5 NIGHT OF THUNDER 61 J DOYLE (6) R HANNON 5-1
7th 7 BELARDO 57 WILLIAM BUICK (4) ROGER VARIAN 9-1
8th 8 BOSSY GUEST 57 MR C BISHOP (7) M R CHANNON 25-1

R&S COMMENT: soon led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, ran on

SUMMARY OF AROD’S FORM;

He’s got close to horses such as Australia & Solow amongst others that would be odds on in a Cox Plate of any year, they weren’t / aren’t just the best of their time but the best for many years in those parts! He’s twice won over 2018m and has a narrow 2nd to The Grey Gatsby over 2092m, which is a terribly strong form line. He’s no query at the distance, he’s an on-pacer who’ll make his own luck & the form around his is world standard. If he produces his best they’ll have to be good to beat him!!!!

5000 bonus points

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#10 GAILO CHOP

Deportivo (GB)Grenoble (FR)
Prize$
 FR €949,900
 USA US$94,046
 Wins 1600m (2), 2000m (4), 2100m
 HWgt (W) 58 (1600m, 2000m, 2100m) 58 (1600m) 58 (2000m)   
 HWgt (P) 58 (1600m) 58 (1850m) 56 (1600m)   
 Career 7w (58%) – 3p (25%) – 12 starts

CAREER;

#1

2  LA TESTE DE BUCH 31 Jul 2013
 PRIX DU NAISSAIM – FOIES GRAS BIRABEN Con (D) 1600m $20,920 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:42.29
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 1 KING RUBI 56 A HAMELIN (2) MATTHIEU PALUSSIERE 3.8-1
2nd 3 BANTU 56 THOMAS HENDERSON (9) D HENDERSON 11-1
3rd  GAILO CHOP -6.0L 56  J AUGE (7) A DE WATRIGANT 10-1 
4th 5 ORANGEFIELD 56 JEAN-BERNARD EYQUEM (10) J-C ROUGET 5.9-1
5th 6 LE SCRIBE 56 C SOUMILLON (5) J-C ROUGET 1.7-1
6th 9 PLAISIR PARTAGE 56 JULIEN GROSJEAN (8) DUREPAIRE (S) 38-1
7th 8 SIX COTES 56 OLIVIER PESLIER (3) DUREPAIRE (S) 4.5-1
8th 10 ROUGETDOR 56 D MICHAUX (6) JL PELLETAN 37-1
9th 4 BAILEYS COQUIN 56 MICKAEL FOREST (1) W WALTON 31-1
10th 7 MURUBE 56 D MORISSON (4) J PIEDNOEL 80-1

No R&S race comments available on French or USA races.

#2

1  LA TESTE DE BUCH 31 Aug 2013
 PRIX JEAN MARIE SAUVE Con (D) 1600m $20,920 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:42.76

FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +0.5L 58  J AUGE (6) A DE WATRIGANT 2.9-1
2nd 7 BOWLING GREEN 56 ROBERTO-CARLOS MONTENEGRO (2) C BAILLET 13-1
3rd 1 DROLE DE MEK 58 MICKAEL FOREST (4) W WALTON 6.4-1
4th 5 LE SCRIBE 58 JEAN-BERNARD EYQUEM (1) J-C ROUGET 6.3-1
5th 6 DARSELECT 58 JEAN-BAPTISTE HAMEL (5) GUILLEMIN (S) 1.7-1
6th 2 GRAND THEATRE 58 D MORISSON (3) W WALTON 35-1
7th 4 AFTER MATH 58 THOMAS HENDERSON (7) J-C ROUGET 4.7-1

#3

2  FR – BORDEAUX 9 Oct 2013
 PRIX BEACHCOMBER HOTELS “DINAROBIN” *****L (PX DE LA CROIX BLANCHE) Con (D) 1600m $28,770 SOT=Slow
RaceT=1:40.42
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 5 GREEN ENVY 56.5 J AUGE (7) C FERLAND 8.9-1
2nd  GAILO CHOP -2.5L 58  A HAMELIN (5) A DE WATRIGANT 5.6-1
3rd 3 FLAMBOYANT 58 C SOUMILLON (2) J-C ROUGET 0.9-1
4th 4 MAXIREPORTER 58 M LAURON (4) (2.5) T LEMER 4.4-1
5th 8 MUYEVA 54.5 WILLIAM SMIT (8) L LARRIGADE 36-1
6th 7 BOWLING GREEN 56 ROBERTO-CARLOS MONTENEGRO (6) C BAILLET 6.4-1
7th 6 TRICHEUR 56 C CADEL (1) (1.5) F SANCHEZ 28-1
8th 2 BOLDIKO 58 A GAVILAN (3) GUILLEMIN (S) 32-1

#4

2  FR – NANTES 26 Oct 2013
 PRIX DES SABLONNETS Con (D) 1600m $71,930 SOT=SH
RaceT=1:45.51
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +2.5 58  J AUGE (7) A DE WATRIGANT 13-1
2nd 6 HUSSARD 58 ALEX ROUSSEL (8) VIEL (S) 20-1
3rd 5 COCKNEY BOB 58 M LAURON (1) D WINDRIF 6-1
4th 4 UNDER THE RADAR 58 CRISTIAN DEMURO (4) F DOUMEN 8.2-1
5th 1 KING RUBI 58 A HAMELIN (6) MATTHIEU PALUSSIERE 1.7-1
6th 7 ZITANE 56.5 C SOUMILLON (3) BOISNARD J (S) 3.5-1
7th 3 AMBEZI TIVO 58 A FOUASSIER (5) A COUETIL 7.9-1
8th 8 ULTRADARGENT 56.5 MAXIME GUYON (2) HA PANTALL 8.6-1

#5

3  FR – SAINT CLOUD 15 Mar 2014
 PRIX MAURICE CAILLAULT Con (D) 2000m $71,930 SOT=Slow
RaceT=2:15.61
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +2.5L 56  J AUGE (4) A DE WATRIGANT 7.5-1
2nd 2 WIRELESS 56 C SOUMILLON (5) J-C ROUGET 0.8-1
3rd 6 DOUBLE LOOK 56 THIERRY JARNET (3) GUILLEMIN (S) 7.6-1
4th 3 VERCINGETORIX 56 MAXIME GUYON (6) A FABRE 3.6-1
5th 5 VENTARON 56 GREGORY BENOIST (1) GUILLEMIN (S) 5.2-1
6th 4 INVILLINO 56 UMBERTO RISPOLI (2) M FIGGE 19-1

#6

 FR – LONGCHAMP 6 Apr 2014
 PRIX LA FORCE (G3) 2000m $104,620 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:02.96
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +0.75L 58  J AUGE (3) A DE WATRIGANT 7.4-1 
2nd 7 FREE PORT LUX 58 THIERRY JARNET (2) F HEAD 4.5-1
3rd 6 MR POMMEROY 58 FABRICE VERON (4) HA PANTALL 4.7-1
4th 1 DIAGHAN 58 C SOUMILLON (5) M DELZANGLES 4-1
5th 4 ELLIPTIQUE 58 MAXIME GUYON (8) A FABRE 2.2-1
6th 2 NABBAASH 58 IORITZ MENDIZABAL (1) J-C ROUGET 5.3-1
7th 5 DOUBLE LOOK 58 C P LEMAIRE (6) GUILLEMIN (S) 27-1
8th 8 COCKNEY BOB 58 THOMAS MESSINA (7) J PARIZE 53-1

2014 PRIX LA FORCE (G3) 2000m – Gailo Chop 1st (light pink, purple sleevs & cap)

#7

5  FR – LONGCHAMP 21 Apr 2014
 PRIX NOAILLES (G3) 2100m $104,620 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:09.33
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP 1.25L 58  J AUGE (4) A DE WATRIGANT 0.7-1
2nd 5 AVENTADOR 58 RAPHAEL MARCHELLI (1) T CASTANHEIRA 12-1
3rd 1 GALLANTE 58 PIERRE-CHARLES BOUDOT (5) A FABRE 3.5-1
4th 3 A SOLDIER’S LIFE 58 MAXIME GUYON (3) A FABRE 2.7-1
5th 2 BAL DE FRANCE 58 C P LEMAIRE (2) S KOBAYASHI 16-1

2014 PRIX NOAILLES (G3) 2100m – Gailo Chop 1st (OTI silks- yellow & navy blue stripes, white sleeves + cap)

#8

*FORM NOTE: This is the best form line we can get through Australian racing for Gailo chop. In this USA Gr1, Gailo Chop was 4th. 2014 Cox Plate winner was 2nd in the race beaten a neck, that was some 4L in front of Gailo Chop. 2015 Gr1 Doomben Cup winner Pornichet who was trained by Gai for this run, lead pulled it’s head off and folded to compound and finish 9th, 19L off the winner and 15L off Gailo Chop, but obviously the horse is a lot better than that, so it’s little guide. 4L off Adelaide says he’s pretty handy though.

4  USA – BELMONT PARK 5 Jul 2014
 Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo) (Turf) (G1) 2011m $624,370 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:1.18
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st MR SPEAKER 55.5 J LEZCANO (8) CLAUDE MCGAUGHEY III 235-10
2nd    ADELAIDE 55.5  C O’DONOGHUE (4) A P O’BRIEN 9-4 
3rd FLAMBOYANT 55.5 JOEL ROSARIO (5) PATRICK GALLAGHER 196-10
4th    GAILO CHOP -4.5L 55.5  J AUGE (6) A DE WATRIGANT 23-5
5th SHELDON 55.5 JUNIOR ALVARADO (2) JAMES J TONER 35-1
6th TOAST OF NEW YORK 55.5 J P SPENCER (1) JAMIE OSBORNE 9-2
7th GLOBAL VIEW 55.5 GARY STEVENS (9) THOMAS F PROCTOR 84-10
8th BOBBY’S KITTEN 55.5 JAVIER CASTELLANO (3) CHAD C BROWN 4-1
9th    PORNICHET 55.5  JOSE L ORTIZ (7) MS GAI WATERHOUSE 196-10
10th GALA AWARD 55.5 JOHN VELAZQUEZ (10) TODD PLETCHER 152-10

2014 Belmont Derby – Gailo Chop 4th

#9

5  FR – DEAUVILLE 15 Aug 2014
 PRIX GUILLAUME D’ORNANO – HARAS DU LOGIS SAINT-GERMAIN (G2) 2000m $523,120 SOT=SH
RaceT=2:11.64
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +3.5L 58  J AUGE (8) A DE WATRIGANT 10-1
2nd 8 FREE PORT LUX 58 M BARZALONA (2) F HEAD 7.3-1
3rd 1 PRINCE GIBRALTAR 58 C SOUMILLON (1) J-C ROUGET 1-1
4th 7 WESTERN HYMN 58 WILLIAM BUICK (5) JOHN GOSDEN 1.8-1
5th 5 TOP ACE 58 CRISTIAN DEMURO (7) G BIETOLINI 35-1
6th 2 ARMY BULLETIN 58 MAXIME GUYON (3) A FABRE 14-1
7th 3 NOLOHAY 58 OLIVIER PESLIER (4) C LAFFON-PARIAS 22-1

PRIX GUILLAUME D’ORNANO – HARAS DU LOGIS SAINT-GERMAIN (G2) 2000m – Gailo Chop 1st (OTI silks)

#10

5  FR – LONGCHAMP 24 May 2015
 PRIX D’ISPAHAN (G1) 1850m $344,260 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:51.30
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 3 SOLOW 58 MAXIME GUYON (1) F HEAD 0.6-1
2nd  GAILO CHOP -1.5L 58  J AUGE (4) A DE WATRIGANT 7.4-1 
3rd 5 SPARKLING BEAM 56.5 THIERRY JARNET (5) J E PEASE 12-1
4th 1 CIRRUS DES AIGLES 58 C SOUMILLON (3) MME C BARANDE BARBE 1.7-1
89th 4 POLLYANA 56.5 A HAMELIN (2) J HAMMOND (S) 0

PRIX D’ISPAHAN (G1) 1850m – Gailo Chop 2nd (OTI silks)

#11

*FORM NOTE: We get a direct line through Criterion here who he rematches again on Saturday in the Cox Plate. Here Gailo Chop lead before dropping out to be beaten 6L, while Criterion was beaten 4L. So Gailo Chop was 2L off at the finish of Criterion after leading up. It’s probably the most definitive look at the form of Gailo Chop as he’d need to improve 2L to catch Criterion and hope at the same time that horse hasn’t improved. Don’t see him making the necessary progression.

4  GB – ASCOT 17 Jun 2015
 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (G1) SW 2011m $1,052,100 SOT=GF
RaceT=2:05.07
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 5 FREE EAGLE 57 PAT SMULLEN (4) DERMOT K WELD 5-2
2nd 9 THE GREY GATSBY 57 J P SPENCER (1) K A RYAN 9-2
3rd 10 WESTERN HYMN 57 FRANKIE DETTORI (3) JOHN GOSDEN 8-1
4th 8 THE CORSICAN 57 JIM CROWLEY (9) DAVID SIMCOCK 14-1
5th  CRITERION 57  CHAD SCHOFIELD (7) DAVID HAYES 20-1
6th 7 SPIELBERG 57 C SOUMILLON (5) K FUJISAWA 7-1
7th 2 CANNOCK CHASE 57 RYAN MOORE (2) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 8-1
8th  GAILO CHOP -6.0L 57  J AUGE (10) A DE WATRIGANT 10-1 
9th 4 ECTOT 57 GREGORY BENOIST (8) E LELLOUCHE 7-1

Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (G1) SW 2011m – Gailo Chop 8th

R&S COMMENT: raced keenly, led until pushed along and headed approaching final 2f, weakened over 1f out

#12

4  MAISONS-LAFFITTE 18 Sep 2015
 LA COUPE DE MAISONS-LAFFITTE (G3) 2000m $124,820 SOT=SH
RaceT=2:03.06
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  GAILO CHOP +4.0L 57  C SOUMILLON (2) A DE WATRIGANT 1.5-1 
2nd 2 AL WAAB 57 OLIVIER PESLIER (7) G E MIKHALIDES 15-1
3rd 3 ECTOT 57 GREGORY BENOIST (1) E LELLOUCHE 4.6-1
4th 4 SPIRIT’S REVENCH 57 S PASQUIER (4) P H DEMERCASTEL 11-1
5th 7 CANNDAL 54.5 ALAIN BADEL (6) M DELZANGLES 6.7-1
6th 1 SEAPORT 57 VINCENT CHEMINAUD (3) A FABRE 3.2-1
7th 8 FUWAIRT 54.5 ANTHONY CRASTUS (8) E LELLOUCHE 49-1
8th 6 ROYALMANIA 55.5 MAXIME GUYON (5) F HEAD 10-1

LA COUPE DE MAISONS-LAFFITTE (G3) 2000m – Gailo Chop 1st

SUMMARY OF GAILO CHOP’S FORM

The easiest to assess of the international runners through his run in the Prince of Wales when 2L off the 2nd fav for the Cox Plate Criterion, dropping out after a pretty soft time in front. Also has form through Adelaide in the 2014 Belmont Derby when he was 4L off the 2014 Cox Plate winner, this was Adelaide’s final lead up too the Cox Plate so he was in pretty handy nick at the time. Neither of those efforts will win the race on Saturday in my opinion. The French form looks dynamite, but it’s very hard to get a line on, and in reality might not be as strong as it reads on paper. Run behind Solow was good, but Solow cantered past him with plenty left in store and still won easily. Compare that too Arod’s run behind Solow, where Arod really made the super-star French grey sweat it out and dig deep into his locker to overcome him. Gailo Chop has done enough to be competitive but I’d doubt he’s the winner unless he improves sharply.

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#13-HIGHLAND REEL

Galileo (IRE)Hveger (AUS)

Highland-Reel-horse-betting-Cox-Plate

9 Starts: 4 wins, 2 placings

Wins; 1408m, 1609m, 2012m, 2414m

Earnings:

GB

£204,156

 IRE

€119,292

 USA

US$178,252

 FR

€685,800

The same as Adelaide last year, Highland Reel is only a 3yo by his native northern hemisphere breeding time. But in Australia he’s categorised as a 4 year old having been foaled well before our local 3yo’s but months after our 4yo’s. So he doesn’t get the big weight relief our local 3yo’s do.

CAREER;

#1

2  IRE – LEOPARDSTOWN 12 Jun 2014
 Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden MDN 1408m $21,580 SOT=Good
RaceT=1:31.48
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 6 TOMBELAINE 59.5 PAT SMULLEN (2) DERMOT K WELD 12-1
2nd  HIGHLAND REEL -0.75L 59.5  J A HEFFERNAN (4) A P O’BRIEN 6-1
3rd 2 CRESCENT 59.5 W J LEE (6) D WACHMAN 20-1
4th 5 TAQASEEM 59.5 CHRIS HAYES (8) KEVIN PRENDERGAST 7-1
5th 1 ARDHOOMEY 59.5 C T KEANE (7) (-1.5) G M LYONS 7-1
6th 4 SWORDFIGHT 59.5 W M LORDAN (3) D WACHMAN 11-2
7th 7 U S NAVY SEAL 59.5 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (1) A P O’BRIEN 6-5

R&S COMMENT: broke well and settled back to 6th, progress on outer 1f out and went 2nd 150 yards out, kept on well, no impression on winner close home

#2

1  IRE – GOWRAN PARK 1 Jul 2014
 Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden MDN 1609m $18,960 SOT=GF
RaceT=1:38.40
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  HIGHLAND REEL +12.00L 59.5  JOSEPH O’BRIEN (5) A P O’BRIEN 8-15
2nd 8 TAQASEEM 59.5 CHRIS HAYES (7) KEVIN PRENDERGAST 13-2
3rd 3 HALL OF FAME 59.5 K J MANNING (2) J S BOLGER 5-1
4th 1 CRESCENT 59.5 W M LORDAN (6) D WACHMAN 12-1
5th 7 RIPPED 59.5 SHANE FOLEY (9) CHARLES O’BRIEN 33-1
6th 6 NICKSCREAMCRACKER 59.5 C R KING (3) (-1.5) DAVID MARNANE 16-1
7th 2 FRESH FOCUS 59.5 R P WHELAN (4) J S BOLGER 25-1
8th 9 CLEANO 57 R P CLEARY (1) THOMAS CLEARY 50-1
9th 5 KILIMANJARO 59.5 C O’DONOGHUE (8) A P O’BRIEN 14-1

R&S COMMENT: soon tracked leaders, moderate 3rd halfway, closer 3f out, ridden to lead 2f out, clear over 1f out, hung left inside final furlong, kept on strongly, easily

#3

4  GB – GOODWOOD 30 Jul 2014
 Veuve Clicquot Vintage Stakes (Group 2) (G2) SW 1408m $123,760 SOT=GF
RaceT=1:26.81
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  HIGHLAND REEL +2.5L 57.5  JOSEPH O’BRIEN (6) A P O’BRIEN 10-11
2nd 8 TUPI 57.5 R HUGHES (5) R HANNON 13-2
3rd 7 ROOM KEY 57.5 DANE O’NEILL (1) EVE JOHNSON HOUGHTON 20-1
4th 1 AHLAN EMARATI 57.5 J P SPENCER (2) P W CHAPPLE-HYAM 5-1
5th 6 PALLISTER 57.5 J FANNING (8) M JOHNSTON 10-1
6th 2 CHADIC 57.5 SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (3) M JOHNSTON 20-1
7th 4 FAITHFUL CREEK 57.5 JIMMY FORTUNE (7) B J MEEHAN 33-1
8th 3 DR NO 57.5 RYAN MOORE (4) R HANNON 6-1

R&S COMMENT: keen early, close up, led approaching final furlong, ridden and ran on

#4

4  FR – LONGCHAMP 10 May 2015
 POULE D’ESSAI DES POULAINS – PRIX LE PARISIEN (G1) 1600m $757,370 SOT=GS
RaceT=1:36.85
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 9 MAKE BELIEVE 58 OLIVIER PESLIER (4) A FABRE 6-1
2nd 1 NEW BAY 58 VINCENT CHEMINAUD (16) A FABRE 21-1
3rd 13 MR. OWEN 58 FX BERTRAS (12) FRANCOIS ROHAUT 11-1
4th 3 KARAR 58 FRANKIE DETTORI (13) F-H GRAFFARD 8.8-1
5th 6 SIR ANDREW 58 J L MARTINEZ (6) F PEREZ 49-1
6th  HIGHLAND REEL -6.0L 58  RYAN MOORE (7) A P O’BRIEN 2.71
7th 14 WAR ENVOY 58 C O’DONOGHUE (2) A P O’BRIEN 23-1
8th 2 MUHAARAR 58 PAUL HANAGAN (18) C HILLS 15-1
9th 15 CORNWALLVILLE 58 OISIN MURPHY (15) F-H GRAFFARD 65-1
10th 5 HAWKE 58 M BARZALONA (9) MME PIA BRANDT 47-1
11th 17 FLAMING SPEAR 58 ANDREA ATZENI (10) K A RYAN 63-1
12th 16 THE COMISSIONER 58 C SOUMILLON (17) X THOMAS DEMEAULTE 22-1
13th 10 TALE OF LIFE 58 S PASQUIER (14) P BARY 7.5-1
14th 11 MAFTOOL 58 DANE O’NEILL (11) SAEED BIN SUROOR 11-1
15th 12 BORSAKOV 58 MAXIME GUYON (1) MME PIA BRANDT 18-1
16th 8 MIND THAT BOY 58 GREGORY BENOIST (3) DUREPAIRE (S) 36-1
17th 18 EL SUIZO 58 FABRICE VERON (5) HA PANTALL 24-1
18th 4 SMAIH 58 PIERRE-CHARLES BOUDOT (8) R HANNON 38-1

R&S COMMENT: N/A

#5

4  FR – CHANTILLY 31 May 2015
 PRIX DU JOCKEY CLUB (G1) 2100m $2,158,270 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:05.69
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 1 NEW BAY 58 VINCENT CHEMINAUD (13) A FABRE 3.2-1
2nd  HIGHLAND REEL -1.5L 58  JOSEPH O’BRIEN (9) A P O’BRIEN 25-1 
3rd 3 WAR DISPATCH 58 IORITZ MENDIZABAL (1) J-C ROUGET 7.9-1
4th 14 PIMENT ROUGE 58 ALAIN BADEL (10) C SCANDELLA 24-1
5th 13 SUMBAL 58 ANDREA ATZENI (5) F-H GRAFFARD 7-1
6th 4 MOSTANEER 58 THIERRY THULLIEZ (3) N CLEMENT 25-1
7th 5 CAPE CLEAR ISLAND 58 RYAN MOORE (7) A P O’BRIEN 13-1
8th 2 KARAKTAR 58 C SOUMILLON (12) A DE ROYER DUPRE 3.3-1
9th 8 SILVERWAVE 58 A FOUASSIER (2) A COUETIL 4.3-1
10th 7 LISTAN 58 J AUGE (14) C FERLAND (S) 56-1
11th 12 KAHOUANNE 58 OLIVIER PESLIER (6) BOTTI (S) 40-1
12th 11 HIGH DYNAMITE 58 CRISTIAN DEMURO (4) A DE WATRIGANT 22-1
13th 9 CAMPIONE 58 ANTHONY CRASTUS (11) E LELLOUCHE 78-1
14th 10 WAR ENVOY 58 C O’DONOGHUE (8) A P O’BRIEN 69-1

R&S COMMENT: N/A

#6

7  IRE – CURRAGH 27 Jun 2015
 150th Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (G1) 2414m $1,798,560 SOT=GF
RaceT=2:34.93
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 4 JACK HOBBS 57 WILLIAM BUICK (2) JOHN GOSDEN 10-11
2nd 7 STORM THE STARS 57 P COSGRAVE (7) W J HAGGAS 10-1
3rd 2 GIOVANNI CANALETTO 57 JOSEPH O’BRIEN (8) A P O’BRIEN 8-1
4th 5 KILIMANJARO 57 J A HEFFERNAN (6) A P O’BRIEN 20-1
5th  HIGHLAND REEL -11.5L 57  RYAN MOORE (3) A P O’BRIEN 11-4
6th 8 QUALIFY 56 C O’DONOGHUE (4) A P O’BRIEN 8-1
7th 1 CARBON DATING 57 R P WHELAN (1) JOHN PATRICK SHANAHAN 150-1
8th 6 RADANPOUR 57 PAT SMULLEN (5) DERMOT K WELD 16-1

R&S COMMENT: held up, soon 7th, pushed along and some headway from under 4f out, moderate 6th 3f out, went moderate 5th 2f out, one pace

#7

2  GB – GOODWOOD 29 Jul 2015
 Neptune Investment Management Gordon Stakes (Group 3) (G3) SW 2414m $205,340 SOT=Good
RaceT=2:34.94
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st  HIGHLAND REEL +1.5L 57.5  JOSEPH O’BRIEN (3) A P O’BRIEN 7-4
2nd 7 SCOTTISH 57.5 JIM CROWLEY (4) A M BALDING 7-1
3rd 1 DISEGNO 57.5 ANDREA ATZENI (7) SIR MICHAEL STOUTE 7-1
4th 3 MEDRANO 57.5 FERGAL LYNCH (6) D H BROWN 7-2
5th 8 SPACE AGE 57.5 WILLIAM BUICK (9) C APPLEBY 7-1
6th 5 PROPOSED 57.5 PAT DOBBS (5) R HANNON 33-1
7th 9 TOMMY DOCC 57.5 PHILLIP MAKIN (8) K DALGLEISH 25-1
8th 10 AMAZE ME 56 J F EGAN (1) N P LITTMODEN 66-1
9th 4 PRINCE GAGARIN 57.5 FRANKIE DETTORI (10) ED DUNLOP 11-1

R&S COMMENT: tracked leaders, effort and not clear run over 2f out, chased leader 2f out, driven to lead inside final furlong, ran on

#8

3  USA – ARLINGTON 15 Aug 2015
 Secretariat Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo) (Turf) (G1) 2012m $366,670 SOT=Fast
RaceT=2:02.26
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st    HIGHLAND REEL +1.5L 55  SEAMIE HEFFERNAN (6) A P O’BRIEN 12-5
2nd CLOSING BELL 54 J LEZCANO (1) WILLIAM I MOTT 147-10
3rd FORCE THE PASS 57 JOEL ROSARIO (2) ALAN E GOLDBERG 6-4
4th GOLDSTREAM 56 BRENTON AVDULLA (3) A WOHLER 56-10
5th CRITTENDEN 54 WILLIAM BUICK (4) E P HARTY 177-10
6th WAR DISPATCH 54 IORITZ MENDIZABAL (7) J-C ROUGET 53-10
7th GRANNY’S KITTEN 54 I ORTIZ JR (5) MICHAEL J MAKER 91-10

R&S COMMENT: N/A

#9

FORM NOTE: The winner Golden Horn is currently = world’s best horse. Highland Reel was well beaten by 4L, but is that good enough for a Cox Plate remembering how good Golden Horn has proven winning the Arc and being world champion???

5  IRE – LEOPARDSTOWN 12 Sep 2015
 Qipco Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) (G1) SW 2011m $1,716,340 SOT=GS
RaceT=2:05.41
FP Tb Horse wt Jockey (bp) Trainer SP
1st 5 GOLDEN HORN 57 FRANKIE DETTORI (1) JOHN GOSDEN 5-4
2nd 7 FOUND 56 J A HEFFERNAN (3) A P O’BRIEN 6-1
3rd 2 FREE EAGLE 60.5 PAT SMULLEN (5) DERMOT K WELD 10-3
4th 8 PLEASCACH 56 K J MANNING (2) J S BOLGER 14-1
5th  HIGHLAND REEL -4.0L 57  JOSEPH O’BRIEN (7) A P O’BRIEN 16-1
6th 3 THE GREY GATSBY 60.5 J P SPENCER (4) K A RYAN 8-1
7th 1 CIRRUS DES AIGLES 60.5 C SOUMILLON (8) MME C BARANDE BARBE 8-1

R&S COMMENT: led early, raced in 2nd, pushed along before straight, 3rd from 2f out, 4th 1f out, dropped to 5th and one pace inside final furlong.

SUMMARY OF HIGHLAND REEL’S FORM

Has avoided the best horses around in Europe at 3 in the most part asides from two runs in the Irish Derby & Irish Champion where he was safely held both times. Although 4L off Golden Horn over 2011M maybe good enough to win a Cox Plate as Golden Horn is rated as the world’s best horse this year along, winning the Arc leading all the way and only tasting defeat once when finishing runner up, in his 8 starts, he’s equal with USA Triple Crown Winner American Pharaoh. Runs a strong 2040M that’s without doubt, does look very one-paced though if there’s a knock. But if he runs up to last start he’ll be in the mix, 4L is a pretty sizeable margin but as stated it was behind the world’s best. Poorly in at weights is a knock. When comparing him to Adelaide, their form is very much similar. Adelaide didn’t race the best often but was held when he did and he won the Gr1 Arlington race. Can definitely win, but I prefer Arod from an international perspective, not by far though.

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The 2015 Caulfield Cup In-Depth: Final Field, Barriers, Betting Odds, History, Stats, Tips, Punters Poll & Best Bets + More…

The final field of horses for the 2015 BMW Caulfield Cup to be run at Caulfield racecourse, Melbourne, Victoria this Saturday has been finalised with 18 horses to run in the classic race over 2400m.

Many experts have described the 2015 Caulfield Cup as the best instalment they’ve ever seen of the great race that serves as the major lead up to Australia’s great race, the Melbourne Cup always run 16 days later, which this year will be the 3rd of November. 11 horses have completed the Caulfield Melbourne Cup double in the same year, they are;

  1. Poseidon (1906)
  2. The Trump (1937)
  3. Rivette (1939)
  4. Rising Fast (1954)
  5. Even Stevens (1962)
  6. Galilee (1966)
  7. Gurner’s Lane (1982)
  8. Let’s Elope (1991)
  9. Doriemus (1995)
  10. Might and Power (1997)
  11. Ethereal (2001)
Uncle Sam won the Caulfield Cup in 1912 & then again in 1914. 7 horses have won the race on two occassion, none have ever won 3.
Uncle Sam won the Caulfield Cup in 1912 & then again in 1914. 7 horses have won the race on two occassion, none have ever won 3.

MOST SUCCESSFUL JOCKEY IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • Scobie Breasley – 5 wins
  • Damien Oliver – 4  wins
  • Frank Demsey – 3 wins
  • Neville Sellwood – 3 wins
  • Mick Mallyon – 3 wins

MOST SUCCESSFUL FEMALE TRAINERS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1998 Lady Herries – Taufan’s Melody
  • 2001 Sheila Laxon – Ethereal
  • 2010 Gai Waterhouse – Descarado

MOST SUCCESSFUL TRAINER IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • Bart Cummings – 7 wins
  • Tommy Smith – 4 wins
  • Jack Holt – 3 wins
  • CT Godby – 3 wins
  • H McCalman – 3 wins

UNLUCKIEST TRAINER:

  • George Hanlontrained 2nd place getter 3 times (by narrow margins)

LONGEST PRICED WINNERS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1884 Blink Bonny – 50-1
  • 1902 Lieutenant Bill – 40-1
  • 1936 Northwind – 66-1
  • 1943 Saint Warden – 100-1
  • 1988 Imposera – 50-1
  • 1998 Taufan’s Melody – 66-1

SHORTEST PRICED FAVORITES IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • first : 4-6 ($1.67) Tulloch
  • ran 6th: 8-11 ($1.73) Tobin Bronze
  • first : 5-4 ($2.25) Manfred
  • first : 7-4 ($2.75) Eurythmic
  • first : 7-4 ($2.75) Rising Fast
  • ran 3rd: 7-4 ($2.75) Comic Court
  • ran 3rd: 7-4 ($2.75) Sir Simpe
  • ran 8th: 7-4 ($2.75) Pink Un
Tulloch won the 1957 Caulfield Cup becoming the shortest priced favourite in the history of the race.
Tulloch won the 1957 Caulfield Cup becoming the shortest priced favourite in the history of the race.

FALLS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1885 17 of 44 horses fell at the turn into the straight, resulting in the death of jockey Donald Nicholson (considered Australia’s worst race fall)
  • 1906 7 horses

PROTESTS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1893 Tim Swiveller won, but was disqualified for pushing another horse out of the race
  • 1969 Nausori came in first, a protest by jockey Roy Higgins on Big Philou for interference at the furlong pole (200m) was upheld

INTERESTING STATS:

  • It is interesting to note that since 1983 no Caulfield Cup winner has won from barrier one.
    The 2400m start at Caulfield is situated at the top of the straight at the home turn so there is a good 400m run before the capacity field negotiates the turn out of the straight. Horses caught wide cover plenty of extra ground because of the sharp turns so luck in running, like any big race, is critical. Gates two to five have won 10 of the past 30 Cups but the rails is a maiden during that period. But if the pace is on in the Caulfield Cup, then all runners will get their chance as the field will break up.
  • Up until the past few years the race has been strictly won by Austalian & New Zealand horses (with the only anomaly being Taufan’s Melody’s win in 1998, when he floored punters by winning at 66-1), but with the globalisation of the Melbourne Spring carnival over recent years thanks to the massive prize pools on offer, we have now had winners from all over the globe. All the Good was prepared in Dubai by Saeed bin Surour won he won the race in 2008. Dunaden, who also won the Melbourne Cup in 2011 came back and carried 58kg the victory in 2012, he was trained and bred in France. In 2014 Admire Rakti won the great race for Japan, also carrying 58kg to victory. In the 2015 Caulfield Cup there are runners from Japan, Ireland, Germany, UK, NZ & Australia taking part.
  • In 2015 the Caulfield Cup will be contested for a purse of AUS$3,000,000 which makes it the world’s richest mile & a half race that is run under handicap conditions. Runners down to 10th cash-in with the breakdown being; 1st $1,750,000, 2nd $425,000, 3rd $225,000, 4th $125,000, 5th $100,000, 6th $75,000, 7th $75,000, 8th $75,000, 9th $75,000, 10th $75,000. 
  • 7 of the past 15 winners have been 4 year olds
  • 3 mares have won the race in the past 2 decades
  • No favourite has won in the last 10 years, but before that 4 favourites won in a row.

The final field for the 2015 Caulfield Cup + barriers & odds are as follows; (with 18 horses to run, there are 4 emergencies in the line-up for the 2400m classic.)

bmw-caulfield-cup-day

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey BAR WT Pen. Hcp Rating
1 1x6857x080 PROTECTIONIST (GER) $51 Kris Lees Brenton Avdulla 12 58kg 114
2 123x7x116x SNOW SKY (GB) $15 Sir Michael Stoute Damien Oliver 3 58kg 115
3 6x61x01x2x FAME GAME (JPN) $8 Yoshitada Munakata Zac Purton 1 57kg 113
4 x1016x7x92 OUR IVANHOWE (GER) $15 Lee & Anthony Freedman Ben Melham 17 56kg 112
5 238x05x36x HOKKO BRAVE (JPN) $15 Yasutoshi Matsunaga Craig Williams 19 55.5kg 110
6 111151×743 MONGOLIAN KHAN $4.60 (FAV) Murray Baker Opie Bosson 9 55kg 112
7 4×41112135 TRIP TO PARIS (IRE) $34 Ed Dunlop Tommy Berry 5 55kg 109
8 3x5442x758 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (NZ) $26 Chris Waller Blake Shinn 21 54.5kg 109
9 889431×075 GRAND MARSHAL (GB) $51 Chris Waller Jim Cassidy 6 53.5kg 106
10 x7433x1322 ROYAL DESCENT $15 Chris Waller Glen Boss 22 53.5kg 112
11 13213×7059 VOLKSTOK’N’BARRELL (NZ) $34 Donna Logan Craig Newitt 11 53.5kg 110
12 x60212x072 HAURAKI $8.50 John O’Shea 14 53kg 104
13 x49376x648 LUCIA VALENTINA (NZ) $34 Kris Lees Dwayne Dunn 20 53kg 110
14 26x122x620 RISING ROMANCE (NZ) $13 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig Damian Lane 2 53kg 110
15 18411×0000 MAGICOOL $121 Mark Kavanagh James Winks 15 52kg 101
16 4x1141x980 GUST OF WIND (NZ) $18 John Sargent Chad Schofield 13 51kg 102
17 11x230x253 SET SQUARE $8.50 Ciaron Maher Kerrin McEvoy 16 51kg 103
18 42494×1112 MAGNAPAL $34 Terry & Karina O’Sullivan Dean Yendall 18 50kg 96
19 (e) 2201x2112x QUEST FOR MORE (IRE) $51 Roger Charlton Tommy Berry 8 53.5kg 106
20 (e) 21112×0131 COMPLACENT $13 John O’Shea 10 53kg 104
21   (e) 3352x0x339 DIBAYANI (IRE) $41 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig 7 53kg 105
22   (e) 955×143121 MAGIC HURRICANE (IRE) $21 John O’Shea 4 52.5kg 2.5kg 107

2015 CAULFIELD CUP TIPS:

3.FAME GAME

13.LUCIA VALENTINA

14.RISING ROMANCE

2015 CAULFIELD CUP BEST BETS:

FAME GAME (WIN)

&

LUCIA VALENTINA (EACH WAY)

VOTE IN OUR POLL! WHO WILL WIN?

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