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FOXBET REVIEW: Fox Sports Enters the online betting market

FOXBET

Fox Sports Enters the online betting market

FOX SPORTS

Fox Sports is entering the legalized sports betting arena “ambitiously, aggressively, but also responsibly,” the division’s chief, Eric Shanks, declared during the Fox Corp. investor day Thursday.

Fox Bet, a new offering catering to those newly permitted to lay wagers in multiple states after a Supreme Court ruling cleared the path, will be “up and running by this football season,” Shanks said. He did not offer a detailed look at the service, which was made possible by a partnership between Fox and Canadian gambling outfit The Stars Group, which was announced yesterday.

Fox will become the first established media company to put its name on betting products aiming to compete in states with legalized betting against companies like FanDuel and DraftKings. In exchange for a $236 million investment in Stars, Fox gets about 5% of the company.

Fox Sports chief Eric Shanks

Live sports across the traditional media landscape has become a crucial element for anyone with a stake in TV or streaming, and Fox is particularly well-positioned to take advantage of it, Shanks said.“You see it now, or you regret missing it forever,” he said, noting the company will carry the Super Bowl in February and has locked up baseball’s World Series in a long-term deal.“Our rights portfolio is second to none,” he said, describing sports viewing as “the single most essential trend in our business.”In 1998, Shanks said, 25% of the top 100 programs in total ratings were sports. By 2018, with on-demand viewing and streaming redefining primetime, the percentage surged to 88%, with 63 of the top 100 programs being NFL broadcasts. (Fox indicated its view of sports by having lead play-by-play man Joe Buck deliver the introductory “please be seated” announcements today, and even disclosures about “non-GAAP accounting measures.”)For advertisers, Shanks said, “content is essentially fungible.” If brands want to reach incremental audiences, off-network, recycled programming “will always likely be available to you.” On the other hand, “if you want to build reach in chunks of five, 10 or 15 million at a time … Fox Sports is the most powerful option.”One chart that flashed on the screen tallied up total minutes of viewing in 2018, arriving at 615 billion as the total across Fox Sports and its cable siblings, FS1 and FS2. Unspoken during Shanks’ portion (though acknowledged by CEO Lachlan Murdoch and COO John Nallen) was the unloading of 22 regional sports networks as part of the Disney deal. Disney recently sold 21 of the networks to a Sinclair Broadcast Group-led set of buyers, with the flagship YES Network sold back to the New York Yankees, with Amazon and Sinclair also in the mix on that deal, which has yet to formally close.

Murdoch and Nallen both reaffirmed that Fox Corp. decided early on in the auction of the RSNs, which was agreed to by Disney as a condition of regulatory approval of the merger, that they would not seek to re-acquire the networks.

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Triple J Hottest 100 Betting Preview

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Triple J Hottest 100 Betting Preview

Today represents a celebration of both music and democracy as millions of Australians gather around the Wireless and find out what has made the cut in Triple J’s Hottest 100.

We break down the contenders in our Hottest 100 betting market and we are confident we’ve found a couple of sneaky chances at juicy odds.

 

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Triple J Hottest 100 Overall Betting

First things first, it’s not going to be thank u, next  by Ariana Grande, which is at $101 in our market even though we all know that it should be a contender.

This year’s edition of the countdown is highly competitive and comes down to about six songs (many of them from Australian artists) that are in the mix.

Brisbane singer/rapper’s track Groceries has proven popular with the Triple J audience over the past year and is a rank outsider at $34.

There’s also Gold Coast singer Amy Shark’s – I Said Hi which has had not only a fair run on Triple J but has been on high rotation on commercial radio and will poll highly but at the $9 not high enough to be top of the pops.

Dance track “Losing it” by Fisher has also been considered a “banger” by the cool kids and could be considered a good chance at $ 6.50, but historically dance acts don’t get in the top 5 – with the exception of Flume in recent years.

Keeping in with the slow-track singer/songwriter trend, Cronulla girl Ruby Fields and her song “Dinosaurs” has featured in many people’s Hottest 100 votes when being shared on social media and could be a late bolter at $8.

The market favourite is currently Sydney band Ocean Alley with their track “Confidence”, which has had a recent groundswell of support on social media and given that people love to get behind an Aussie band to win the countdown is every chance to win at $1.57.

However, while some might be getting on the Ocean Alley bandwagon, it’s Childish Gambino’s track This is America that is the best value to win at $3. The song has had almost half a billion views on YouTube, captures the mood of the moment and the momentum behind the track, has both mainstream and Triple J audience appeal and it should be enough to see it take out this year’s countdown.

Tip: This Is America – Childish Gambino to win Triple J’s Hottest 100 @ $3.00

 

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Top 3

amy shark

While some think the song is called “Tell Your Mum I said Hi” and is a tribute to Rove McManus, Amy Shark’s track “I said Hi” is highly likely to go into the top 5 and if it can get boosted to the 3rd spot is good value at $1.80.

The number 1 and number 2 spots are likely to be contested between Childish Gambino and Ocean Alley but are at Winx-like odds in this market so it’s best to think what song will take the number three spot.

Dance Track Fisher – Losing It is also good value at $2 but historically, while dance tracks have polled in the top 10 before they don’t tend to go top three.

Given the mainstream appeal of Amy Shark and influx of votes from non-Triple J listeners, “I Said Hi” has a better chance to get in the top 3.

Tip: I Said Hi – Amy Shark to finish in the Top 3 @ $1.80

 

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Top 5

Sydney singer/songwriter, Dean Lewis,  with those slow acoustic softly sung songs that are all the rage throughout many of the countdown contenders this year is a good chance to poll highly in this year’s countdown with his breakup song “Be Alright”.

Another song that’s had both Triple J and mainstream appeal, expect it to go deep in the Hottest 100 poll and at $2.50 is good value in this market.

Tip: Be Alright – Dean Lewis to finish in the Top 5 @ $2.50

 

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Top 10

While the likes of Ruby Fields, Amy Shark, Fisher, Dean Lewis and co are all likely to finish in the top 10, it’s the value you need to look for in this market and it’s best to avoid Australian artists when it comes to wanting to get a decent return.

For this, you would need to look for a song that will finish around the 7-10 mark and in our market, it’s a head to head contest between English bands Bring Me the Horizon and The Wombats.

The Wombats track “Turn” is good value at $2 to get a top 10 finish but it’s the popularity based on YouTube views and airplay that should see Bring Me the Horizon’s track “MANTRA” sneak into the Top 10.

Tip: MANTRA – Bring Me The Horizon in the Top 10 @ $1.80

 

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Like A Version Songs In Top 100

Getting a Like A Version song into the Hottest 100 is kind of like a free-kick from Triple J to get into the countdown. The song is a cover version and they record it for you and give it instant airplay/exposure.

Like A Version covers have been a regular feature of recent countdowns such as the 2016 Hottest 100 when cover versions of songs by Cher, Beyonce and Rihanna featured in the countdown, a feat you wouldn’t have predicted in previous countdowns.

Nonetheless, Like A Version is much of a staple of Triple J as the station itself and there has been some amazing covers over the years.

The market currently suggests that two Like A Version songs are going to feature in this year’s hottest 100 at $1.15. The suspect songs are Nothing But Thieves cover of Gang of Youth’s song “What Can I Do If The Fire Goes Out?” and Ocean Alley’s cover of 1970’s classic “Baby Come Back” by Player.

While both songs may gain a spot in the countdown, perhaps only one Like A Version will feature and is good to take at the $7 price.

Tip: One Like A Version Song in the Hottest 100 @ $7

 

 

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Australian Tracks In Top 10

To sound like a footy commentator going through player names as plurals you’ve got your Amy Sharks, your Ocean Alleys, Your Ruby Fields’s, Dean Lewis’ and these types of Aussie artists who are going to most likely poll in the top 10.

While we are predicting an American artist to finish at number one, there will be plenty of good local bands at the business end of the countdown.

Expect around seven to eight tracks to be in the Top 10, and at $3.75 seven Australian artists in the top 10 makes for excellent value.

Tip: Seven Australian Artists in the Hottest 100 Top 10 @ $3.75

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ROYAL ASCOT 2016: DAY 1 TIPS – TUESDAY, JUNE 14, 2016

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~DAY 1 TIPS AND BEST BETS~

 

RACE 1 – $1,222,493 – Group 1 – Queen Anne Stakes – 1609m – 4YO+

4.BELARDO $5.50

14.TEPIN $5.00

12.ERVEDYA $5.00

 

RACE 2 – $305,620 – Group 2 – Coventry Stakes – 1207m – 2YO

18.YALTA $8.00

13.PSHCHEDELIC FUNK $7.00

2.CARRAVIGIO $3.20

17.THUNDER SNOW $17

 

RACE 3 – $814,995 – Group 1 – King’s Stand Stakes – 1207m – 3YO+

20.MECCA’S ANGEL * $3.50

21.ACAPULCO $8

5.GOLDREAM $17

14.PROFITABLE $6.00

9.MONGOLIAN SATURDAY $21

 

RACE 4 – $814,995 – Group 1 – St James’s Palace Stakes – 1609m – 3YO

7.THE GURKHA $2.25

1.AWTAAD $3.00

6.GALILEO GOLD $6.00

 

RACE 5 – $162,999 – Class 2 – Ascot Handicap – 4023m – 4YO+

17.SEMPRE MEDICI $8.00

7.NO HERETIC $11

4.PIQUE SOUS $9.00

3.SILVER CONCORDE $7.50

 

RACE 6 – $162,999 – Listed – Windsor Castle Stakes – 1005m – 2YO

15.MISTER TRADER $9.00

22.BIG CITY DREAMIN $5.50

9.DRAFTED $5.50

3.BAATTASH $15

 

BEST BET:

RACE 3-20 MECCA’S ANGEL $3.50

ROSEHILL GARDENS GOLDEN SLIPPER DAY TIPS & BEST BET 

2016 Longines Golden Slipper Day

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RACE 1

2.Heavens Above

9.Skyline Blush

5.All Cerise

7.Alegria

1.Gust Of Wind

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RACE 2

4.Libran

7.Maurus

9.Dee I Cee

2.Auvray

2.Beyond Thankful

 

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RACE 3

2.Counterattack*

3.Santa Ana Lane

1.Takedown

5.Speak Fondly

9.Serene Majesty

 

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RACE 4

3.Dibayabi

1.Criterion

4.Hauraki

5.The United States

7.Storm the Stars

 

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RACE 5

5.Winx***

1.Turn Me Loose

2.Kermadec

6.First Seal

8.Press Statement

 

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RACE 6

1.Tarzino

2.Le Romain

5.Shards

14.Jameka

8.Montaigne

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RACE 7

1.Extreme Choice

13.Yankee Rose

4.Kiss and Make Up

2.Flying Artie

8.Good Standing

 

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RACE 8

13.Fell Swoop

2.Terravista

1.Flamberge

14.English

10.Bounding

 

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RACE 9

8.Sultry Feeling

2.Griante

5.Brook Road

6.Two Blue

7.Savoureaux

 

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RACE 10

14.Nancy

3.Ecuador

6.Bullpoint

9.Lunar Rise

7.Aomen

 

BEST: R3-2 COUNTERATTACK $6.00

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The 2015 Caulfield Cup In-Depth: Final Field, Barriers, Betting Odds, History, Stats, Tips, Punters Poll & Best Bets + More…

The final field of horses for the 2015 BMW Caulfield Cup to be run at Caulfield racecourse, Melbourne, Victoria this Saturday has been finalised with 18 horses to run in the classic race over 2400m.

Many experts have described the 2015 Caulfield Cup as the best instalment they’ve ever seen of the great race that serves as the major lead up to Australia’s great race, the Melbourne Cup always run 16 days later, which this year will be the 3rd of November. 11 horses have completed the Caulfield Melbourne Cup double in the same year, they are;

  1. Poseidon (1906)
  2. The Trump (1937)
  3. Rivette (1939)
  4. Rising Fast (1954)
  5. Even Stevens (1962)
  6. Galilee (1966)
  7. Gurner’s Lane (1982)
  8. Let’s Elope (1991)
  9. Doriemus (1995)
  10. Might and Power (1997)
  11. Ethereal (2001)
Uncle Sam won the Caulfield Cup in 1912 & then again in 1914. 7 horses have won the race on two occassion, none have ever won 3.
Uncle Sam won the Caulfield Cup in 1912 & then again in 1914. 7 horses have won the race on two occassion, none have ever won 3.

MOST SUCCESSFUL JOCKEY IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • Scobie Breasley – 5 wins
  • Damien Oliver – 4  wins
  • Frank Demsey – 3 wins
  • Neville Sellwood – 3 wins
  • Mick Mallyon – 3 wins

MOST SUCCESSFUL FEMALE TRAINERS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1998 Lady Herries – Taufan’s Melody
  • 2001 Sheila Laxon – Ethereal
  • 2010 Gai Waterhouse – Descarado

MOST SUCCESSFUL TRAINER IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • Bart Cummings – 7 wins
  • Tommy Smith – 4 wins
  • Jack Holt – 3 wins
  • CT Godby – 3 wins
  • H McCalman – 3 wins

UNLUCKIEST TRAINER:

  • George Hanlontrained 2nd place getter 3 times (by narrow margins)

LONGEST PRICED WINNERS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1884 Blink Bonny – 50-1
  • 1902 Lieutenant Bill – 40-1
  • 1936 Northwind – 66-1
  • 1943 Saint Warden – 100-1
  • 1988 Imposera – 50-1
  • 1998 Taufan’s Melody – 66-1

SHORTEST PRICED FAVORITES IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • first : 4-6 ($1.67) Tulloch
  • ran 6th: 8-11 ($1.73) Tobin Bronze
  • first : 5-4 ($2.25) Manfred
  • first : 7-4 ($2.75) Eurythmic
  • first : 7-4 ($2.75) Rising Fast
  • ran 3rd: 7-4 ($2.75) Comic Court
  • ran 3rd: 7-4 ($2.75) Sir Simpe
  • ran 8th: 7-4 ($2.75) Pink Un
Tulloch won the 1957 Caulfield Cup becoming the shortest priced favourite in the history of the race.
Tulloch won the 1957 Caulfield Cup becoming the shortest priced favourite in the history of the race.

FALLS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1885 17 of 44 horses fell at the turn into the straight, resulting in the death of jockey Donald Nicholson (considered Australia’s worst race fall)
  • 1906 7 horses

PROTESTS IN THE CAULFIELD CUP:

  • 1893 Tim Swiveller won, but was disqualified for pushing another horse out of the race
  • 1969 Nausori came in first, a protest by jockey Roy Higgins on Big Philou for interference at the furlong pole (200m) was upheld

INTERESTING STATS:

  • It is interesting to note that since 1983 no Caulfield Cup winner has won from barrier one.
    The 2400m start at Caulfield is situated at the top of the straight at the home turn so there is a good 400m run before the capacity field negotiates the turn out of the straight. Horses caught wide cover plenty of extra ground because of the sharp turns so luck in running, like any big race, is critical. Gates two to five have won 10 of the past 30 Cups but the rails is a maiden during that period. But if the pace is on in the Caulfield Cup, then all runners will get their chance as the field will break up.
  • Up until the past few years the race has been strictly won by Austalian & New Zealand horses (with the only anomaly being Taufan’s Melody’s win in 1998, when he floored punters by winning at 66-1), but with the globalisation of the Melbourne Spring carnival over recent years thanks to the massive prize pools on offer, we have now had winners from all over the globe. All the Good was prepared in Dubai by Saeed bin Surour won he won the race in 2008. Dunaden, who also won the Melbourne Cup in 2011 came back and carried 58kg the victory in 2012, he was trained and bred in France. In 2014 Admire Rakti won the great race for Japan, also carrying 58kg to victory. In the 2015 Caulfield Cup there are runners from Japan, Ireland, Germany, UK, NZ & Australia taking part.
  • In 2015 the Caulfield Cup will be contested for a purse of AUS$3,000,000 which makes it the world’s richest mile & a half race that is run under handicap conditions. Runners down to 10th cash-in with the breakdown being; 1st $1,750,000, 2nd $425,000, 3rd $225,000, 4th $125,000, 5th $100,000, 6th $75,000, 7th $75,000, 8th $75,000, 9th $75,000, 10th $75,000. 
  • 7 of the past 15 winners have been 4 year olds
  • 3 mares have won the race in the past 2 decades
  • No favourite has won in the last 10 years, but before that 4 favourites won in a row.

The final field for the 2015 Caulfield Cup + barriers & odds are as follows; (with 18 horses to run, there are 4 emergencies in the line-up for the 2400m classic.)

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No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey BAR WT Pen. Hcp Rating
1 1x6857x080 PROTECTIONIST (GER) $51 Kris Lees Brenton Avdulla 12 58kg 114
2 123x7x116x SNOW SKY (GB) $15 Sir Michael Stoute Damien Oliver 3 58kg 115
3 6x61x01x2x FAME GAME (JPN) $8 Yoshitada Munakata Zac Purton 1 57kg 113
4 x1016x7x92 OUR IVANHOWE (GER) $15 Lee & Anthony Freedman Ben Melham 17 56kg 112
5 238x05x36x HOKKO BRAVE (JPN) $15 Yasutoshi Matsunaga Craig Williams 19 55.5kg 110
6 111151×743 MONGOLIAN KHAN $4.60 (FAV) Murray Baker Opie Bosson 9 55kg 112
7 4×41112135 TRIP TO PARIS (IRE) $34 Ed Dunlop Tommy Berry 5 55kg 109
8 3x5442x758 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (NZ) $26 Chris Waller Blake Shinn 21 54.5kg 109
9 889431×075 GRAND MARSHAL (GB) $51 Chris Waller Jim Cassidy 6 53.5kg 106
10 x7433x1322 ROYAL DESCENT $15 Chris Waller Glen Boss 22 53.5kg 112
11 13213×7059 VOLKSTOK’N’BARRELL (NZ) $34 Donna Logan Craig Newitt 11 53.5kg 110
12 x60212x072 HAURAKI $8.50 John O’Shea 14 53kg 104
13 x49376x648 LUCIA VALENTINA (NZ) $34 Kris Lees Dwayne Dunn 20 53kg 110
14 26x122x620 RISING ROMANCE (NZ) $13 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig Damian Lane 2 53kg 110
15 18411×0000 MAGICOOL $121 Mark Kavanagh James Winks 15 52kg 101
16 4x1141x980 GUST OF WIND (NZ) $18 John Sargent Chad Schofield 13 51kg 102
17 11x230x253 SET SQUARE $8.50 Ciaron Maher Kerrin McEvoy 16 51kg 103
18 42494×1112 MAGNAPAL $34 Terry & Karina O’Sullivan Dean Yendall 18 50kg 96
19 (e) 2201x2112x QUEST FOR MORE (IRE) $51 Roger Charlton Tommy Berry 8 53.5kg 106
20 (e) 21112×0131 COMPLACENT $13 John O’Shea 10 53kg 104
21   (e) 3352x0x339 DIBAYANI (IRE) $41 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig 7 53kg 105
22   (e) 955×143121 MAGIC HURRICANE (IRE) $21 John O’Shea 4 52.5kg 2.5kg 107

2015 CAULFIELD CUP TIPS:

3.FAME GAME

13.LUCIA VALENTINA

14.RISING ROMANCE

2015 CAULFIELD CUP BEST BETS:

FAME GAME (WIN)

&

LUCIA VALENTINA (EACH WAY)

VOTE IN OUR POLL! WHO WILL WIN?

Sydney: Comprehensive preview of every race for Rosehill Gardens

  • NEWS CORP AUSTRALIA

NOTE: RACES are assessed for a heavy 8. All horses are considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1pm. (N/R) denotes no rating.

RACE 1

FITNESS will be the key more than ever on what looks like being a very testing surface. We saw as much last week all of which of leads us to ponder about where 2. VANBRUGH (N/R) is at this early stage of his ‘spring’ campaign. Chris Waller has a plethora of Golden Rose candidates and no doubt Vanbrugh is one. Whether he’s forward enough to come and out win first-up is debatable, only Waller would know, but he is certainly the best horse in the race and his trials have been quite unbelievable. 3. LET’S MAKE IT RAIN (N.R) is by my own personal favourite ‘wet track sire’ (Not A Single Doubt) and he showed enough in his two runs at his first prep to warrant serious respect. He too has trialled keenly and barrier 3/Bowman would likely suggest that he’ll be on-pace throughout which is usually the place to be. The 1200m first-up is a niggle but he’ll be there for a long, long way. 4. LABDIEN (N/R) went out after winning on debut at WF on a heavy 8 so we know she handles the ground. Speaking of which, 1. SURFIN’ SUFARI (N/R) bolted in by 5-lens on a heavy 10 at the Farm and has the race fitness on his side but he’s drawn poorly.

RACE 2

WALLER stayer 8. SIR MAKO (82) was ridden a treat by Rory Hutchings to win his Australian debut at R’wick over the 2000m on Jun. 6. We all saw him late last week in a 1900m Bm84 here when 2.4-lens 5th of the 9 in a leader dominated race. He was somewhat hampered over the final furlong and while it didn’t cost him the ultimate result, the margin is unfair. He is a heavy track winner in NZ and has won 3 from 6 on soft so everything is in his favour this weekend to bounce back. 6. LUCKY LAGO (88) has threatened to win a race for a long time but sadly the mare has been unable to convert some real eye catchers into triumph, That said, she has raced in black type affairs at all of her past four runs and finished ‘5243’ all-up and no more than 2.5-lens from the winner each time. 7.GEORGEY AEROPLANE (82) is one of the 5 (out of 10) Waller runners in the race and his penchant for the slop combined with the fact that he is third-up to a suitable trip makes him a genuine contender. Ditto for stablemate 4. REIGNING (91) who is racing as well as he ever has.

RACE 3

MIKE Moroney is a master trainer of stayers and his horses travel. Enter 7. SPACE (69), who is 1 for 1 at the track and distance. He is 5s 0-0-0 on soft but 1s for a 2nd on heavy so he we’re going to cautiously give him a ‘tick’ in the conditions. Space was lapped in the two-mile Andrew Ramsden last start finishing last some 22-odd lens from the winner La Amistad. That was back on May 23 and he’s had time to regroup and I’d imagine the previous run (3rd to Sonntag over 2800m at Flemington) stands him in good stead in what is a typically tricky race. Waller only has one in the race which is somewhat unusual. 5. SOVIET COURAGE (71) is a lightly-raced chestnut bred in Europe that posted his second career win as recently as last start in a 2600m Bm75 at R’wick on a heavy 10. He raced handy and outstayed the others — none of whom we can really vouch for as Saturday class horses, but he did put them bed quite comfortably. 4. DER MEISTER (71) was $61 last weekend when a 1.1-lens 3rd to Maurus in a 1900m Bm84. Some good judges swear by horses backing up off a good wet track run but either way, one cannot ignore the fact that this fellow is a 2400m winner at Newmarket in England prior to leaving.

RACE 4

TO call this race a lottery is putting it mildly. Indeed it wouldn’t be out of order to suggest that everyone of the 14 horses has a winning chance. Surely so when you think the bottom one in the race is none other than Lucy’s Look who was some darned impressive beating Berry Delicious here not that long ago. Speaking of Berry Delicious, I like the horse that was 1-lens 2nd to her at R’wick on the heavy 10 last start namely 8. ELLE LOU (73) from Team Hawkes. This daughter of Snitzel is out of a Snippets mare which accounts for her wet track credentials. You may also recall that she won the rich Gold Coast Magic Millions Maiden back in the Summer like and absolute champion coming from 14/16 at the turn to win by 2.3-lens. Berry Delicious’ trainer Jaosn Coyle has all his team firing at present none more so than 4. FINAL DECISION (74) who has won two of his past three including his June 13 appearance here where he ran down a brave 11. LAND GRANT (67) from the Kris Lees camp who hasn’t fared too well in the barrier stakes but he was utterly dominant winning last start at home at Newcastle on the heavy 9.

RACE 5

BOY it doesn’t get any easier as the day progresses with another ultra-competitive race to work with here. I have always maintained that there is no better fresh/first-up sire in the land than Commands which points to a bold run from Ron Dufficy’s mare 2. COMMANDING WIT (84). I don’t know the actual stats but Bowman and the Snowdens are a formidable trio at their best. As for the mare herself, she is proven beyond any doubt on wet tracks being 1 for 1 on heavy and 4s 0-1-2 on slow. She is ‘good on good’ too but that won’t count for much this weekend in the deep winter. Her trial was quite acceptable, she looked like she might drop out but she showed some ticker and class late to hang on to 2nd behind Marseille Roulette in the 1050m heavy heat at R’wick on Jun. 23. She is 4s 1-1-1 first-up and with a bit of luck she could have won more than 5 races. 1. PRIVATE SECRETARY (87) is a battle harden mare that comes off a very impressive and popular win at HQ over the 1200m on Jun. 6. Bar that disappointing 6th at R’wick in the late autumn she has been outstanding for trainer Greg Hickman. Not surprisingly she is paying the penalty for his consistency but she’s a trier. 8. FIFTYSHADESOFGREY (79) has come of age this time in work with two 2nds and a win from all runs this campaign. She has a great finish so barrier 12/12 doesn’t really count her out. 9. HOLY DELUSIONS (79) came from just behind Fiftyshadesofgrey to be beaten 1.2-lens when they met here last time.

RACE 6

A CAPACITY field for the feature and again, a wonderful line-up of fairly evenly matched sprinter/1400m types. That said, I am very keen on the Gerald Ryan trained Snitzel 3. DANCES ON STARS (97) who has some big race wins to his credit and a number of placings hence his half million dollar plus in earnings. He is 4s 1-1-1 on heavy and returns to his home track after a profitable stint up in Queensland, Granted he never won in that time but he was racing some super handy horses notably Srikandi whom he finished 3rd behind in the G2 Victory Stakes at Doomben. Dances On Stars ran credibly in the G3 Healy albeit a fair way from the winner and one-time stablemate 1.DOTHRAKI (104). Apart from Kerrin McEvoy, is anyone riding better than Brenton Avdulla? Probably not. With the greatest respect to Dothraji who is a huuuuge chance, I have the Waller pairing of 7. DIAMETRIC (93) as the main danger followed by 12. SAID COM (88). Diametric is solid first-up with 5s 3w and has trialled well but I concede he has some track/wet questions to be addressed. As for Said Com, at his best — he’d be top 3 no problem and I’ve loved his trials. Said Com had a big weight and terrible alley last Saturday and was scratched. I find it intriguing that he resumes in a Listed race.

RACE 7

I HAVE monitored the career of the former Dubbo-based galloper 12. SHIRAZ (76) since I saw him shine like a beacon in the dark one uneventful afternoon back in Dec. 2013 in the bush long ago when trained by Peter Nestor. You could just tell by looking at him that he wasn’t your average country horse and that he would make it in better races. To be honest, I didn’t think he’d be as good as he is but good luck to him, I am happy to be wrong. It takes a handy horse to win more than half of their starts but Shiraz has been so well placed by Nestor and now Tony McEvoy that he finds a way to win. This is an ask to be sure, but his draw, his weight and those two trials are in his favour. As for the wet, you’d back a Zariz to handle it. 5. BROOK ROAD (93) was borderline moral first-up and got the job done here beating Wonderbolt et al. The God’s Own mare has the enviable record of 12s 5-2-2 and I recall her being a bit unlucky from time to time as well. She is of course deadly first-up and 4s 1-1-1 second-up which is acceptable. The worst she’s seen is a soft 6 (last start) but you can’t knock her on heavy until she’s proven it one way or another. 8. CASUAL CHOICE (86) is a magnificent beast like his dear old dad, Choisir, and a horse with lots more talent that one who is 3 from 18. He had a quiet trial earlier in the week at WF but looked pretty good to me. 1. ZARATONE(100) is always a chance and what a grand horse he’s been and for the life of me I can’t see how 3.DECISION TIME (98) trials like Phar Lap but races so far below that on race day. He won his heat at WF on Monday like the horse we saw finish 2nd in a Golden Slipper which seems so long ago now. You never know?

RACE 8

WHEN I did the form on Wednesday I had God’s In Him on top then Scottish Border as the value both ahead of 4. MARENOSTRO (77) but they both came out after I’d finished so in effect I have my third pick on top under sufferance. With that said, he is flying this prep but he’ll be well found and having not tipped him at either of those two wins, it’s against ones persuasion to come in on the grouter. 4. REFER (85) is an emergency in an earlier race and so it too could be scratched which leaves me only with Marenostro’s stablemate 8. HOLLYWOODBOUND (79) and to a lesser extent, and right out of the box, 2. PLUTORIUS (82) and even 3. PYTHAGOREAN (82). It’s a terribly hard race and one that I am not at all confident about. Not much of a review I know, but it could look very different by post time to what it does now, even 16. EISENHOWER (79) might start here instead of a prior race and if so, he’s be pressing for favouritism if not the top pick with punters. My own bet would be — forget about this and have it on Sir Mako in the second race, I think he’s the standout on the program.

VIA http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/superracing/sydney-comprehensive-preview-of-every-race-for-rosehill-gardens/story-fnp8dsm2-1227424749851

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