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18/05/19 Morphettville Tips and Best Bets: Goodwood Handicap Day

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GOODWOOD HANDICAP DAY 2019

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Morphettville

Race 1 – Absolute Flirt *BEST BET*
Race 2 – Snogging *VALUE BET*
Race 3 – 11 Nashville Sound
Race 4 – Nordic Symphony
Race 5 – Fastnet Tempest *BEST BET*
Race 6 – Split Lip
Race 7 – 10 Iconoclasm
Race 8 – Dexelation

 

 

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18/05/19 Doomben Tips and Best Bets: Doomben Cup Day

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Weather: Overcast

Track: Soft 5

Rail: +2m entire course

 

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Doomben

Race 1 – 11 Sacred Day
Race 2 – Tunero
Race 3 – California Zimbol *BEST BET*
Race 4 – Zoustyle *SPECIAL*
Race 5 – Stella Victoria
Race 6 – Isaurian
Race 7 – 10 Chapter And Verse 
Race 8 – 13 Youngstar
Race 9 – Belle Roc *BEST VALUE*
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Preakness 144 Selections and Race Preview

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1. War of Will Mark Casse Tyler Gaffalione 4-1
2. Bourbon War Mark Hennig Irad Ortiz Jr. 12-1
3. Warrior’s Charge Brad Cox Javier Castellano 12-1
4. Improbable Bob Baffert Mike Smith 5-2
5. Owendale Brad Cox Florent Geroux 10-1
6. Market King D. Wayne Lukas Jon Court 30-1
7. Alwaysmining Kelly Rubley Daniel Centeno 8-1
8. Signalman Ken McPeek Brian Hernandez Jr. 30-1
9. Bodexpress Gustavo Delgado John Velazquez 20-1
10. Everfast Dale Romans Joel Rosario 50-1
11. Laughing Fox Steve Asmussen Ricardo Santana Jr. 20-1
12. Anothertwistafate Blaine Wright Jose Ortiz 6-1
13. Win Win Win Michael Trombetta Julian Pimentel 15-1

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PREAKNESS 144 SELECTIONS:

1. (1) WAR OF WILL

2. (12) ANOTHERTWISTAFATE

3. (2) BOURBON WAR

4. (4) IMPROBABLE

5. (9) BODEXPRESS

DEBUT WINNER SHOWS ‘WINX’ LIKE PROMISE

Before you get carried away. No, this brilliant 2yo debutant winner yesterday won’t emulate anywhere close to what Winx did because A) No horse will ever do what Winx was able to & B) He’s a colt so if he’s as good as he looks and becomes a multiple Group 1 winner he’ll only be around for another 2 full seasons maximum after this current season.

The only reason I raise the comparison is due to the similarity of their debut wins…..Check them out:

WINX’S DEBUT

EXCEEDANCE’S DEBUT

The King Tip Friday 17th May 2019

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The King Tip Friday 17th May 2019

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GRAFTON

RACE 6

#6

DRAM OF DELAGO

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Jockey: Emily Atkinson (a3)

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

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Gelding Godfather – Vaal Tips – 16 May 2019

My Vaal Selections Today.

By Letichia Govender www.godfathergelding.com

Race 1. (5) Invidia – Really smoking form will be hard to beat this one; (3) Gunner Runner – My close alternative.

Race 2. (1) Jungle Jane – Been running decent enough to warrant my selection; (2) Aziri Sun – Command respect in this field;

Race 3. (12) Royal Siege – Should be in the mix of things; (5) Eureka Effect – always a threat;

Race 4. (7) Short Stop – Will get an even nod from me if at peak; (2) Golden Lion – Should go well here!

Race 5. (3) Gottalottaluv – Fancy in an open race; (2) Chariot of Gold – should run into place money at least;

Race 6. (7) Whitehaven – Several recent good runs; (1) Bold Coast – Might have a second look in this one especially with Gavin there;

Race 7. (9) Image Award – Best form should be easy pickings; (2) Scoop – Should go well today;

Race 8. (9) Rebel Renegade – Has to make up for last time around; (2) Tripod – Can never be ruled out;

Best Bet today:

Race 7. (9) Image Award;

Value Bet:

Race 8. (9) Rebel Renegade;

The King Tip Saturday 18 May 2019

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ROSEHILL

RACE 7

#5

GREY LION

$5.00

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Jockey: Kathy O’Hara

Trainer: Chris Waller

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2019 Dante Stakes Preview (UK)

By Samantha from https://reinitinracing.wordpress.com/

“Hi I’m Samantha and I’m one of the writers for Rein It In Racing. I’m 14 years old and I got into racing by going to see my Grandad and watching Channel 4 Racing with him for as long as I can remember. Smad Place is my all-time favourite racehorse. I realized I wanted a career in racing when I was about nine or ten. I would love to be a journalist on TV as well as for a newspaper. My biggest aim is to be the first female jockey to win the Grand National.”

 

2019 Dante Stakes Preview

As one of the final trial races in preparation for the most coveted Classic of them all – The Derby, the 2019 Dante Stakes, which is a group two over one mile two furlongs ran on the famous York Knavesmire, will hopefully offer some clues and, it is hoped that one of the British challengers will thrust themselves into the forefront of the Irish dominated betting market. In recent years, this has been won by multiple group one winner Roaring Lion, the ill-fated but incredible Permian, Derby winner Golden Horn, The Grey Gatsby, Authorized and Motivator.

There are quite a few horses with lofty reputations in this and none more so than Too Darn Hot. He is currently the most fancied British contender for the Epsom Derby. Evens or shorter on all of his starts, he has won all four of his races by a combined fifteen lengths and he has some of the top two-year-old form of all the contenders as he crossed the line first in the Champagne Stakes and the Dewhurst. The third of the latter contest, Anthony Van Dyck, has subsequently come out and won the Lingfield Derby Trial. Higher rated than all of these, he is out of Dar Re Mi who is a very good broodmare and also a multiple group one winner. His sister Lah Ti Dar stays one mile four and runs earlier in the card. He is sure to stay and a leading player.

His trainer John Gosden also has Turgnev. He won his second and third starts but struggled when chucked into group one company in the Vertem Futurity, which has worked out incredibly well. He was then well beaten in a class three over this trip and finished third in a listed race last time at Epsom. He isn’t high on my shortlist.

Aidan O’Brien is the dominant force in flat racing of late and he has won the majority of the Derby Trials both sides of the Irish Sea. He has Japan in this. Seventh on debut, he then won quite well on heavy going next time. He ran at Naas in September in the Beresford over a mile by a short head. He’s been talked about as a potential Derby winner and one of Aidan’s biggest chances which means that he has to be very very good. He’s a full brother to a 117 peak rated horse called Sir Isaac Newton, who won a group three over this trip, and his dam stayed further so he is thoroughly bred for this.

Line Of Duty will surely be popular as this Godolphin colt shares his name with the popular TV show. He is a very interesting horse and was second on his first two races behind nice horses and then he won a maiden. He won a group three at Chantilly really smartly and was sent over to America where he ran in the Breeders Cup Juvenile over a mile and won well. His dam never raced past a mile but she placed in a group one and his full sister won over one mile two so there could be some stamina in there.

The well-named Surfman, being by Kingman and out of Shimmering Surf, wasn’t beaten far on debut and then won two class five races on his most recent starts. There has been lots of money around for him in the Epsom Derby and the yard is in excellent form, winning the Musidora yesterday. 7/1 looks a good price with all this support.

There was a lot of talk about Telecaster after his procession at Windsor on his second start. That was this trip and the horse he came second to on debut won a group three last time. His half brother won the final race on the opening day of this meeting and he stays one mile four so the stamina is obviously in Telecaster’s pedigree, especially as his dam was second in the Oaks. Very unexposed and could literally be anything.

Almania is by Australia out of a seven-furlong group three winner and the horse himself is yet to run over a trip past seven furlongs. Australia’s offspring run well over this trip so there is stamina on the sire’s side.

Nayef Road is three from seven and won over this trip last time by five lengths at Newmarket in a Handicap. This son of Galileo is the pace in the race but I can’t see him being there at the finish. Saying that his stablemate didn’t run too badly in the Musidora. You pretty much know what you’re dealing with when looking at this colt as he’s so exposed compared to the rest.

VERDICT

I actually prefer the British horses in comparison to the Irish horse Japan in this. I think today could be TOO DARN HOT’s day as he’s extremely speedy and will probably have more speed than Japan over this trip. I’d maybe pick differently if this was the Derby as I’m not convinced that Too Darn Hot is a Derby horse. The fact he missed the 2000 Guineas is a slight worry. It was hard not to be impressed with Surfman last time and the money for him is encouraging but this is a huge step up in grade. Telecaster is a nice big horse and well related for a Derby and was an electric winner over this trip last time. The two latter mentioned horses could be anything.

REST OF THE CARD

R1 – Copper Knight

R2 – Lah Ti Dar

R3 – Too Darn Hot

R4 – Hertzadar

R5 – Soldiers Call

R6 – Hong Kong

R7 – October Storm

2019 Doomben Cup Field, Odds & Tips

DOOMBEN CUP 2019 FIELD

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RACE TIME: 3:40 PM

MAY 18, 2019

2000M RACE AT DOOMBEN RACECOURSE

1. Big Duke (6)
J: SAM CLIPPERTON
T: KRIS LEES
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $34
2. Life Less Ordinary (10)
J: JASON COLLETT
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $7.50
3. Mister Sea Wolf (3)
J: JEFF LLOYD
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $11
4. Red Alto (5)
J: LUKE NOLEN
T: BRENT STANLEY
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $101
5. On The Rocks (4)
J: JAKE BAYLISS
T: MICHAEL MORONEY
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $41
6. Archedemus (17)
J: COREY BROWN
T: GWENDA MARKWELL
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $9.00
7. Prioritise (14)
J: MICHAEL MURPHY (A)
T: STEVE TREGEA
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $91
8. Tally (16)
J: TIM CLARK
T: JAMES CUMMINGS
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $34
9. Hallelujah Boy (15)
J: MATTHEW MCGILLIVRAY
T: KRIS LEES
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $26
10. Fierce Impact (12)
J: MICHAEL WALKER
T: MATTHEW SMITH
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $12
11. Shillelagh (2)
J: JAMES MCDONALD
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 57KG
Best Odds: $7.50
12. Kenedna (9)
J: JOHN ALLEN
T: CIARON MAHER & DAVID EUSTACE
W: 57KG
Best Odds: $12
13. Youngstar (11)
J: KERRIN MCEVOY
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 57KG
Best Odds: $5.00
14. Savvy Coup (13)
J: MARK DU PLESSIS
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 57KG
Best Odds: $51
15. Luvaluva (18)
J: GLEN BOSS
T: JOHN SARGENT
W: 57KG
Best Odds: $31
16. Gem Song (8)
J: BLAKE SHINN
T: KRIS LEES
W: 56.5KG
Best Odds: $5.50
17. Sixties Groove (E1) (7)
J: TBC
T: KRIS LEES
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $13
18. Order Again (E2) (1)
J: LARRY CASSIDY
T: BRIAN SMITH
W: 59KG
Best Odds: $51

TIPS

1. (13) Youngstar

2. (16) Gem Song

3. (12) Kenedna

4. (11) Shillelagh

5. (8) Tally

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