14/04/19

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~SHA TIN~

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Analysis by Nicklas Yip
(Follow on Twitter: @nicklasyip)

Race 1:

The first griffin race of the season with some nice prospects. John Moore has three debutants in the card, Gala Night is the half brother of Prompt Response, he trialled well recently and Joao Moreira will on board. Zac will ride on stablemate Aethero who is the brother of Classique Legend, just scored the Arrowfield 3yo Sprint at Randwick. Another horse to trial well is Winning Method, he will be ridden by Karis Teetan.

Confidence: 

Medium – #6 Gala Night E/W $8.50

 

 

Race 2:

Alfred Chan won two races after the arrival here, he will ride on Leisured Feet who has a good gate speed even though a gate 12. Otouto ran solid last timeout and he can maintain well with a good gate. Starlot always missed the start before moving to P O’Sullivan stable with a tremendous third last race.

Confidence:

Low – #1 Leisured Feet E/W $13.00

 

 

Race 3:

Winning Ways defeated by Voyage Warrior the last start but there is no more Voyage Warrior in this race, he has been drawn gate 14, the top pick. Sunshine Universe is a backmarker, so Alfred Chan cannot really help the horse. Valiant Dream showed too green the last start but his gate speed is too fast, he can be improved a lot in this race. One more chance for Marvelous World because of the jockey and distance have been changed.

Confidence:

High – #1 Winning Ways, #10 Marvelous World, #12 Valiant Dream quinella

 

 

Race 4:

Diamond Master finally back to Karis Teetan, he can run well but he is not easy to win. After two bad draws with disappointing runs, Peral Champion has been drawn gate 6 under Chadwick. Let’s trust John Size, Shining Ace has turned good from race to race, he can win under Joao Moreira. Voyage Star is overrated.

Confidence:
Medium – #10 Shining Ace $3.80

 

 

Race 5:

Joao Moreira is the one who can control Proud Sky really well, top pick this race. Best Effort needs to give the same gate speed just like the last start in order to beat the favourite here. If Alfred Chan leads with a fast tempo race, Fortune Patrol can run well with a good draw.

Confidence:

High – #10 Proud Sky WIN only (Best Bet) $6.00

Race 6:

Another fast tempo race in the day as Bingo and Brave Baby will go to the front.  This will help the debutant Victoriam as he can settle comfortably with gate 3. Yuchun Blitz returned well in trackwork after the late scratched last start. Great Treasure is classy in class 4 but the distance is a question.

Confidence:
Medium – #6 Victoriam $4.60

Race 7:

Winning Controller had two disappointing runs at Happy Valley, Zac Purton knows he is a better horse at Sha Tin, he can lead as there is no more frontrunner. Gate 12 is good for Dashing Dart because he love to chase from wide outside. Dor Dor improved slowly, not easy to win in this race.

Confidence:
High – #3 Winning Controller $3.60

 

 

Race 8:

Forget the last race Hard Promise ran under Dylan Mo, Zac can drive him back and he is one to beat. California Turbo is improving but he cannot win in this race. Dont overestimated the victory by Team Spirit last race. Lucky Hero has turned into shape after setback.

Confidence:
Low – #3 Lucky Hero, #4 Hard Promise quinella

 

 

Race 9:

Big Party is one of the exciting prospects in Hong Kong, nothing can stop him to win. Honest Way finally won the last start with a weak field, but he needs to face Big Party this time.

Confidence:
High – #4 Big Party exacta with #5 Honest Way

Race 10:

World Famous is entered my black book after the last start, he is the future of Hong Kong racing. Southern Superstar has a setback after the debut, a huge question mark for this South African import. Unicorn Jewellery is another Har Har Heart, will not put him for a win but respect if he can run with a place. Super Elegance is improving, let’s see how many lengths he can chase from last in last 2 furlongs.

Confidence:
High – #2 World Famous EW $8.00

Race 11:

Gate 14 is not a problem for Champion’s Way, he is going to win 5 from 5. Beauty Icon is expected to improve after the debut. Huge doubt for Superich if he can maintain his form. Give one more chance for World Record but win is unlikely.

Confidence:
High – #4 Champion’s Way WIN only $1.98

Best Bet:

Race 5 #10 Proud Sky

$6.00

 

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