CAULFIELD CUP 2018 FIELD

CC 20 OCTOBER 2018 LOGO.jpg

RACE TIME: 4:40 PM (AEDST)

OCTOBER 20, 2018

GROUP 1

$5,000,000

2400M RACE

CAULFIELD RACECOURSE

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1. Best Solution (17) 

(IRE)
J: PAT COSGRAVE

 

T: SAEED BIN SUROOR

 

W: 57.5KG

Best Odds: $16

COMMENT: He is a relatively lightly raced rock hard stayer from the Saeed Bin Suroor camp. He comes into the Caulfield Cup after back to back wins in some strong overseas races. He will love the 2400m and can handle a dry or rain affected track. A very versatile horse who will be hard to beat.

2. The Cliffsofmoher (3) 

(IRE)
J: HUGH BOWMAN
T: AIDAN O’BRIEN
W: 56.5KG

Best Odds: $7.00

COMMENT: Finished off with the fastest sectionals in the Caulfield Stakes on Saturday and looks primed to run a very good 2400m in the Caulfield Cup. Has strong overseas form and the Internationals again look very hard to beat in the majors this year. Should go close.

3. Chestnut Coat (13) 

(JPN)
J: YUGA KAWADA
T: YOSHITO YAHAGI
W: 55.5KG

Best Odds: $18

COMMENT: A Japanese raider so he has to be respected in this. His last two starts have been very good in strong overseas races. Having his first up run in Australia and on his overseas form will probably need a bit further than the 2400m. Watch for a strong finish and a better run in the Melbourne Cup.
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4. Jon Snow (15) 

(NZ)
J: DAMIAN LANE
T: MURRAY BAKER & ANDREW FORSMAN
W: 55.5KG

Best Odds: $41

COMMENT: Thought his three runs this time in have had a lot of merit without really pressing for a win. Comes through the Turnbull which should be a good form race into the Caulfield Cup but he will likely need it to be wet to be winning.

5. Sound Check (16) 

(GER)
J: JORDAN CHILDS
T: MICHAEL MORONEY
W: 55.5KG

Best Odds: $23

COMMENT: A German galloper so he has to be respected in this as German horses have always ran well in Australia. He probably was a little unlucky at his last two starts and he is pretty well weighted in this. He looks a very good horse and needs to be included. Danger

6. Ace High (8)

J: DAMIEN OLIVER
T: DAVID PAYNE
W: 55KG

Best Odds: $11

COMMENT: Returned to winning form in the Hill Stakes last start which was good to see after knocking on the door for some time. Goes into the Caulfield Cup rock hard fit and we know he will run a strong 2400m. Yet to race at Caulfield which is a bit of a query as is the Hill Stakes form but he must be included unless it is a rain affected track.

7. The Taj Mahal (19) 

(IRE)
J: JAMES MCDONALD
T: LIAM HOWLEY
W: 55KG

Best Odds: $17

COMMENT: Was a strong winner of the JRA Cup last start but this looks a lot tougher on paper. Will likely be one of the leaders and will make his own luck and with the Caulfield track favouring leaders lately he could be a knock out hope.
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8. Duretto (1) 

(GB)
J: DWAYNE DUNN
T: ANDREW BALDING
W: 54.5KG

Best Odds: $23

COMMENT: Comes into the Caulfield Cup with okay International form. He won pretty impressively last start although the form from that race doesn’t look too exciting. He is weighted well in this and will run a good 2400m but i am happy to risk in a quality addition of the race.

9. Red Verdon (9) 

(USA)
J: ZAC PURTON
T: ED DUNLOP
W: 54KG

Best Odds: $21

COMMENT: Has good form from overseas although i think some of the other International raiders look stronger. The 2400m should be the perfect distance for him so a win would not surprise so he should be added to multiples although i think there are a handful of others that are stronger. Each way claims

10. Vengeur Masque (7) 

(IRE)
J: PATRICK MOLONEY
T: MICHAEL MORONEY
W: 54KG

Best Odds: $91

COMMENT: Got back in The Bart Cummings and never really fired a shot. Will likely be looking for further so i can’t see him figuring in this. Pass

11. Ventura Storm (11) 

(IRE)
J: REGAN BAYLISS
T: DAVID & B HAYES & T DABERNIG
W: 54KG

Best Odds: $31

COMMENT: Is yet to win in Australia after plenty of racing so there is a massive query around his ability to win a race like this however he has been racing well this preparation and should be included in the multiples.
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12. Mighty Boss (14)

J: TIM CLARK

 

T: MICK PRICE

 

W: 53.5KG

Best Odds: $126

COMMENT: Won the Caulfield Guineas at big odds last year but hasn’t really gone close in his last six starts so he doesn’t come into the race in great form. Happy to leave out.
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13. Homesman (4) 

(USA)
J: BEN MELHAM

 

T: LIAM HOWLEY

 

W: 53KG

Best Odds: $11

COMMENT: He was a bit disappointing in the Caulfield Stakes on Saturday after some very good runs at WFA. He drops a lot of weight in this and he will likely take up the running and with some easy sectionals i think he could give a massive sight. Keep safe

14. Kings Will Dream (6) 

(IRE)
J: CRAIG WILLIAMS
T: DARREN WEIR
W: 53KG

Best Odds: $5.00 FAVOURITE

COMMENT: Topped the Caulfield Cup market for a long time until his run in the Turnbull Stakes which was a little disappointing to the eye. Thought it was better than what it looked and he gets a good drop in weight in this. His runs before thr Turnbull all suggested he was going to be very hard to beat in this and i still think he will. One of the big dangers.

15. Sole Impact (20) 

(JPN)
J: RYUSEI SAKAI (A)
T: HIROFUMI TODA
W: 53KG

Best Odds: $51

COMMENT: Being a Japanese horse you have to respect him in the race although he is first up in five months so on that i am happy to risk him here. Will need the run so look out for him wherever he goes next.

16. Gallic Chieftain (2) 

(FR)
J: DEAN YENDALL
T: DARREN WEIR
W: 52.5KG

Best Odds: $51

COMMENT: Thought his run in the JRA Plate was good two starts ago but his Herbert Power run suggests it would take a lot of things to go right for him to win this. Prefer to back him in country cups.
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17. Night’s Watch (18) 

(NZ)
J: BEN ALLEN (A)
T: DARREN WEIR
W: 52KG

Best Odds: $16

COMMENT: Had been racing very well until what was probably a disappointing run in G1 company in the Caulfield Stakes on Saturday. He drops a lot of weight on that run but I’m not sure he has the class to win a major such as the Caulfield Cup. Prefer him in G2/G3 class.

18. Youngstar (10)

J: KERRIN MCEVOY

 

T: CHRIS WALLER

 

W: 51.5KG

Best Odds: $6.00

COMMENT: Outside of Winx she put in the best run in the Turnbull Stakes and arguably the meeting at Flemington that day. Her two starts before that throughout this preparation have both been very good and she is ticking along nicely for the Caulfield Cup on Saturday and with only 51.5kg on her back she is going to be very hard to hold out. The one to beat

19. Patrick Erin (E1) (12) 

(NZ)
J: COREY BROWN

 

T: CHRIS WALLER

 

W: 52KG

Best Odds: $41

COMMENT: Emergency

20. Jaameh (E2) (5) 

(IRE)
J: CORY PARISH
T: DAVID & B HAYES & T DABERNIG
W: 50KG

Best Odds: $31

COMMENT: Emergency
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TIPS:

1. (18) YOUNGSTAR* – $6.50

 

2. (14) KINGS WILL DREAM – $5.50

 

3. (6) ACE HIGH – $12.00

 

4. (11) VENTURA STORM – $31.00

 

5. (5) SOUND CHECK – $23.00

SUGGESTED BETS:

~YOUNGSTAR straight out

&

~Box Trifecta:

6,14,18 //

5, 6, 11, 14, 18 //

5, 6, 11, 14, 18

($60=100%)

 

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