2016 MANIKATO STAKES:

In-Depth runner by runner preview + Tips

the-valley

 

1.BUFFERING

Champion old timer, now 9, who is a previous winner of this race in 2013.

Given no peace at all in front in the Moir and was unable to lead so that was the end of his chances. Wound up running a battling 5th.

Stable says he’ll be fitter for this assignment and there doesn’t look much speed on paper to challenge him for the lead.

Always a winning chance if able to dictate.

ODDS: $11.00 — BACK NOW

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2.CHAUTAUQUA

The world’s best sprinter.

Plenty are lining up to knock him because of his 1st up effort and perceived bad barrier draw of 1. If you look closely at his Moir run though he was steaming home the last 50m and just couldn’t go with the speed over 1000m, he was run off his legs.

He gets to 1200m now with a run under his belt and is perfectly suited.

Jockey will just need to get clear galloping room when the times right and he’ll power over the top of them.

ODDS: $2.50 — BACK NOW

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3.LUCKY HUSSLER

Multiple Group 1 winning 7 year old including winning the Group 1 William Reid over this track & distance.

Wound up ok late 1st up from well back in a pleasing effort.

Doesn’t usually figure 2nd up but he loves the track and flies over the 1200m.

Master trainer Darren Weir is sure to have him primed and is certainly a winning hope.

ODDS: $12.00 — BACK NOW

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4.UNDER THE LOUVRE

Won the Group 1 Stradbroke earlier this year with a big pull in the weights vs Black Heart Bart to shake off the “non winner” tag.

His three Spring runs have been good but rather typical, running on well without winning, and they’ve been in easier grade than this.

I think he’s had his birthday in the Stradbroke and I for one would be very surprised if he won again here.

ODDS: $23.00 — BACK NOW

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5.REBEL DANE

Still as honest as ever but his winning days are a thing of the past. Can’t have him especially in this grade of race.

ODDS: $51.00 — BACK NOW

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6.THE QUARTERBACK

Brilliant return win in the Group 2 Gilgai, this bloke has really taken his game to a whole new level since his Autumn campaign that was highlight by a terrific win in the Newmarket Handicap where he beat all comers including Chautauqua.

Drawn out but that won’t matter as he’ll drift back from the gate anyway.

He’s top shelf now and a win wouldn’t shock. Keep him in all your multiple betting!

ODDS: $15.00 — BACK NOW

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7.JAPONISME

Multiple Group 1 placegetter whose two runs back this prep have both been very average in easier class.

Waller wouldn’t have him here if he wasn’t going better than what he showed in those two outings, I’m sure but he needs to go to a career best rating to even be competitive in this.

Happy to risk.

ODDS: $31.00 — BACK NOW

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8.FELL SWOOP

Very good running home 1st up in the Group 2 Schillaci.

He’s clearly very talented as his race record indicates but he’s yet to stamp himself as a genuine Group 1 WFA horse at this stage of his career.

Expecting him to put in his usual honest effort but he’ll he to take his rating to a clear career best rating to be winning or even getting close here, but he’s early a crack at the big time.

Place only.

ODDS: $11.00 — BACK NOW

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9.HOLLER

Flies fresh.

His form in the Autumn was terrific winning a Group 2, a Group 1 and finishing a nostril 2nd in another Group 1.

The form out of those races isn’t what I’d say is A grade but he beat what was presented to him on the day.

Has since been to Royal Ascot where he flopped but as many can attest to travelling to the other side of the globe for a race isn’t easy. So I’d put that down as a forget.

Loves the Valley. Definitely in with a winning chance.

ODDS: $11.00 — BACK NOW

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10.ENGLISH

Terrifically talented mare who was brilliant in the Autumn, highlighted by a Group 1 WFA win in the highly rated All Aged Stakes at Randwick, beating home Black Heart Bart.

Two runs back have been pretty average for mine and I don’t think she’s going as well as she was in the Autumn.

On her best you’d have to include her but she’d have to turn it all around to be a player in this.

ODDS: $9.50 — BACK NOW

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11.CAPITALIST

Magic Millions / Golden Slipper winning champion 2 year.

Has had two runs back and has been only very average on both occasions in 3 year old grade.

Huge doubts linger over how well he’s come back as a 3 year old in my mind and I’ve been a massive fan of the horse since the outset.

3 year olds have been terrific against the older horses in Stakes grade so far this season, suggesting it’s a strong crop. But he needs to find his Golden Slipper winning form to be any factor here.

ODDS: $6.50 — BACK NOW

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TIPS:

2.CHAUTAUQUA*

6.THE QUARTERBACK

9.HOLLER

1.BUFFERING

10.ENGLISH

 

SUGGESTED BET

~CHAUTAUQUA THE WIN @ $2.50

~THE QUARTERBACK EACH WAY @ $15 & $4.20